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GELEBRATLING
40 YEARS OF
AN ENTERPRISING
SPIRIT
In 1926, Hans Wilsdorf created the first
waterproof wristwatch: the legendary
Rolex Oyster. Inspired by his enterprising
spirit, Rolex launched the Rolex Awards
for Enterprise in 1976 to support visionary
people advancing human knowledge and
well-being. Forty years later, the Awards
continue to celebrate men and women with
the passion, vision and commitment
to make the world a better place.
ANYONE CAN CHANGE EVERYTHING
rolexawards.com
]
au
AN OFFICIAL ROLEX JEWELER VISIT ROLEX.COM. ROLEX W ARE ® TRADEMARKS. NEW YORK
FOr
ROLEX
Awards for Enterprise
4.0rH ANNIVERSARY
f ‘
@2016 Canon Inc. canon.com
Water wings. The Humboldt penguin’s gracetul
swimming has been likened to “Tlying” under
water. When foraging for its partner or chicks,
this penguin may spend as much as nine
hours a day beneath the waves, diving in
search of pelagic schooling fish and other prey.
During breeding season it returns without fail
to the same nesting site, but when people
Humboldt Penguin (Soheniscus humboldti)
Size: Body length, 65 - 70 cm (25.6 - 27.6 inches) Weight: 4 - 4.7 kg (8.8 - 10.4 Ib)
Habitat: Nests on rocky stretches of mainland and island coasts Surviving number:
Estimated at 2,500 — 10,000 adults
Photographed by Cyril Ruoso
WILDLIFE AS CANON SEES IT
approach the vicinity its heart rate skyrockets
under the stress. Human disturbance, along with
fishing-related mortality, are the banes of the
penguin’s existence.
As Canon sees it, images have the power to
raise awareness of the threats facing endangered
species and the natural environment, helping
us make the world a better place.
Canon
CONTENTS
DECEMBER 2016 * VOL. 230 ® NO. 6 ® OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC SOCIETY
DEPARTMENTS
3 QUESTIONS
Emily Briere is packing
time capsules for Mars
VISIONS
EXPLORE
Lightning, Santas,
Jackfruit, Field Notes,
Basic Instincts
STARTALK
A Q&A with Andy Weir,
author of The Martian
SPECIAL POSTER:
SAVING UNIQUE
HABITATS
Onthe Cover Si. Catherine
swoons after receiving the
stigmata in this 1526 fresco by
Giovanni Antonio Bazzi at the
Basilica Cateriniana San Domeni-
co in Siena, Italy. Pilgrims visit her
shrine in search of cures.
Leemage/Corbis via Getty Images
Corrections and Clarifications
Go to ngm.com/corrections.
FEATURES
/O
THE PUTIN GENERATION
Young Russians — like those below, celebrating the school year’s end — grew up after the
Soviet Union fell and Viadimir Putin came to power. Where will they take their country?
By Julia loffe Photographs by Gerd Ludwig
30 | MIND OVER MATTER
Scientists are discovering how belief —
through placebos, rituals, and mystical
experiences — can affect the way we heal.
By Erik Vance
Photographs by Erika Larsen
102 | THE PARKS OF TOMORROW
America’s national parks will always be
beautiful, but a warming climate forces us
to accept that they can’t be frozen in time.
By Michelle Nijhuis
Photographs by Keith Ladzinski
56 | ORANGUTANS AT RISK
Researchers are gaining vital insights into
the private lives of orangutans, but the
elusive red apes face a precarious future.
By Mel White
Photographs by Tim Laman
122 | WHERE DREAMS LIVE ON
A half-abandoned research station in
Tanzania Is alive with the hopes and
memories of those who worked there.
By Jeremy Berlin
Photographs by Evgenia Arbugaeva
' CONTENTS
ELSEWHERE
TELEVISION
JOIN THE DARING MISSION TO MARS
Actor JiHAE plays a pilot in the six-part series MARS, which blends
documentary footage and scripted drama. The global event series airs
at 9/8c on Mondays through December 19, on National Geographic.
TELEVISION
WHO SURVIVES IN THE SAVAGE KINGDOM?
The battles among warring clans play out like Game of Thrones—but the
royal families are Africa's lions, leopards, hyenas, and more. The mini-
series Savage Kingdom debuts November 25 at 9/8c on Nat Geo WILD.
' \
PHOTOS: ROBERT VIGLASKY, NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC CHANNELS (TOP); NATIONAL
GEOGRAPHIC CHANNELS/NHF
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC BOOKS
JUST HOW SUGGESTIBLE
IS THE HUMAN BRAIN?
Science writer Erik
Vance examines
the power of belief
to influence us, in
this issue’s cover
story — and in his
new book, Suggest-
ible You: The Curious
Science of Your Brain’s
Ability to Deceive,
Transform, and Heal.
Available wherever books are sold and
at shop.nationalgeographic.com.
VIRTUAL REALITY AND VIDEO
GLIMPSES OF LIFE AMONG
THE ORANGUTANS OF BORNEO
See how orangutans contend with
threats to their habitats and existence,
in an exclusive virtual-reality experience.
Then watch the compelling story of an
orangutan mother raising her baby, in
a National Geographic video. Both are
online at ngm.com/Dec2016.
NATGEO.COM VIDEO
NEW HOPE FOR REFUGEES—AND
THEIR PLACES OF REFUGE
When refugees fleeing conflict arrive
in declining Italian villages, everyone
benefits —as when a refugee named
Assan met a local named Cosmano in
the town of Camini. See the moving story
of their friendship at ngm.com/Dec2016.
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC TRAVEL
THE ANNUAL ‘BEST OF THE
WORLD’ ISSUE IS HERE
A Mediterranean island, an alpine Eden,
a vibrant megacity — tour those destina-
tions and 18 more that made Traveler’s
annual “Best of the World” list. Find the
magazine's special issue on newsstands,
or read it online at NatGeoTravel.com.
The 2017 Subaru Forester® 2.0XT. Road-gripping Symmetrical All-Wheel Drive, a
200-hp Direct-Injection Turbocharged SUBARU BOXER’ engine, and a 2016 IIHS
> SUBARU.
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CLonrigence in fwrocon
Top Safety Pick+ with EyeSight® Driver Assist Technology. So you can make winter
your wonderland. Love. It’s what makes a Subaru, a Subaru.
Forester 2.0XT. Well-equipped at $29,295"
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actual price. Certain equipment may be required in specific states, which can modify your MSRP. See your retailer for details. 2017 Subaru Forester 2.0XT Touring shown
has an MSRP of $35,890. Vehicle shown with available accessories.
FROM THE PRESIDENT |
WE ARE ALLIES
IN EARTH'S CARE
Planet Earth is amazing, it’s diverse—and
it needs all our help, now more than ever.
That’s why we at National Geographic
are redoubling our commitment to ex-
ploring and helping to protect it. With
an endowment that is now around one
billion dollars, we can have more impact
than ever.
About 128 years ago, the nonprofit
National Geographic Society was found-
ed with acommitment to “increase and
diffuse geographic knowledge.” For more
than a century we've explored the world,
making discoveries and inspiring peo-
ple with our images and stories. That’s
still the core of what we do. But now our
planet is at a crossroads. We must push
further, and we can’t do it alone.
We live in an exciting age of explora-
tion with more opportunities to make
discoveries—and make a difference—
than ever before. It’s time to be bold, to
act urgently, in order to ensure a health-
ier and more sustainable existence for
generations to come. Only by acting as
atrue global community can we halt the
pollution of oceans, the trafficking of
wildlife, the destruction of critical hab-
itats, and other threats to life on Earth.
You play an important role. Asa reader
and supporter, you’re part of a powerful
community of curious and passionate
people helping to create solutions and
effect meaningful, long-lasting change.
Thanks to your support, we’ve had
some real breakthroughs. Last year,
backed by our new Special Investigations
Unit, journalist Bryan Christy used a fake
HONORING OUR LEGACY
elephant tusk implanted with a tracking
device to reveal how illegal ivory was trav-
eling through Africa. Our Pristine Seas
project, overseen by marine biologist
Enric Sala, has helped protect more than
one million square miles of ocean since
its launch in 2008.
Asa fatherI can think of nothing more
important than helping to give our next
generation a healthier future. It’s a wor-
thy goal that we can all share and work
toward—now more than ever.
ZW
Gary E. Knell, President and CEO
National Geographic Society
PHOTO: MARK THIESSEN, NGM STAFF
“Then let us a the legwork. You’ II explore with private guides, get ac access to local experts, and aey
an intimate perspective on incredible places around the globe—from Costa Rica to South Africa to
Australia. Choose from more than 20 unique itineraries, or let us help you craft your dream trip.
Visit rel ater=| ||
GEOGRAPHIC
PRIVATE EXPEDITIONS
© 2016 National Geographic Partners.
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC PRIVATE EXPEDITIONS and the Yellow Border Design are trademarks of
the National Geographic Society, used under license.
Photo: Sabi Sabi Earth Lodge, South Africa
OUR CHANGING
ROLE IN PARKS
What happens if there are no more gla-
ciers in Glacier National Park?
In 2016 we have focused in the mag-
azine and digital platforms on parks in
the United States and worldwide. We did
so to celebrate the 100th anniversary
of the U.S. National Park Service—and
because parks are a fascinating lens
through which to explore changes and
challenges in our planet’s environment,
wildlife, and climate.
Though “protected,” parks clearly
are not immune from the man-made
and natural forces that are altering their
landscapes and the habitats of the ani-
mals that live within their borders.
Take glaciers. In 1850 there were about
150 massive ones in what is now Glacier
National Park (above), near the Cana-
dian border in Montana. Today just 25
remain, and scientists believe even the
largest of them will disappear by 2030.
In Sequoia National Park in Califor-
nia, home to towering trees that can live
3,000 years, climate change is boosting
temperatures, but with uncertain re-
sults. “We don’t know which scenario
will play out,” says Sequoia Superinten-
dent Woody Smeck in this issue. Will it
mean more or less rain? Will change be
abrupt or gradual?
This is why, a century after the Park
Service was founded, it’s looking anew
at its role in conserving land- and sea-
scapes by managing parks not as static
terrain but as places of transformation.
That has meant moving an iconic
lighthouse inland at North Carolina’s
Cape Hatteras National Seashore. It may
mean planting sequoia seedlings above
the current range, in the cooler, higher
parts of Sequoia National Park. And at
Assateague Island National Seashore in
Maryland, it means teaching students
about sea rise the way chief of education
Liz Davis does: by throwing a bucket of
water on a sand model of the park.
When people ask her about the future
of parks, Davis gives an answer that is
hopeful—and that may prove true only
if we all do our part.
“People ask, “Will my kids and grand-
kids be able to enjoy it?’” Davis says.
“Yes, they will. They might not enjoy it
in the same way, and they might not get
here the same way. But they will still be
able to enjoy it.”
Uae. A lon,
Susan Goldberg, Editor in Chief
PHOTO: KEITH LADZINSKI
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NATIONAL
GEOGRAPHIC
We believe in the power of science, exploration, and storytelling to change the world.
EDITOR IN CHIEF Susan Goldberg
DEPUTY EDITOR IN CHIEF: Jamie Shreeve. MANAGING EDITOR: David Brindley. EXECUTIVE EDITOR
DIGITAL: Dan Gilgoff. DIRECTOR OF PHOTOGRAPHY: Sarah Leen. EXECUTIVE EDITOR NEWS AND FEATURES:
David Lindsey. CREATIVE DIRECTOR: Emmet Smith
NEWS/FEATURES SHORT-FORM DIRECTOR: Patricia Edmonds. DEPUTY NEWS DIRECTOR: Gabe Bullard.
epitors: Marla Cone, Christine Dell’Amore, Peter Gwin, John Hoeffel, Victoria Jaggard, Robert
Kunzig, Glenn Oeland, Oliver Payne. writers: Jeremy Berlin, Eve Conant, Michael Greshko, Brian
Clark Howard, Becky Little, Laura Parker, Kristin Romey, Rachel Hartigan Shea, Daniel Stone,
Mark Strauss, Nina Strochlic, A. R. Williams, Catherine Zuckerman. CONTRIBUTING WRITERS: Robert
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FARSI: Babak Nikkhah Bahrami. FRANCE: Jean-Pierre Vrignaud. georaia: Levan Butkhuzi.
GERMANY: Florian Gless. HUNGARY: Tamas Vitray. INDIA: Niloufer Venkatraman. INDONESIA: Didi
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NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC ¢ DECEMBER 2016
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC SOCIETY
PRESIDENT AND CEO Gary E. Knell
BOARD OF TRUSTEES
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VICE CHAIRMAN: Tracy R. Wolstencroft
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Moore, George Munoz, Nancy E. Pfund, Peter H.
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INTERNATIONAL COUNCIL OF ADVISORS
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Campbell, Jean and Steve Case, Alice and David
Court, Barbara and Steve Durham, Juliet C. Folger,
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David Hill, Lyda Hill, David H. Koch, Deborah M.
Lehr, Sven Lindblad, Juli and Tom Lindquist, Jho
Low, Claudia Madrazo de Hernandez, Pamela Mars
Wright, Edith McBean, Susan and Craig McCaw,
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Wolstencroft, B. Wu and Eric Larson, Jeffrey M. Zell
RESEARCH AND EXPLORATION COMMITTEE
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EXPLORERS-IN-RESIDENCE
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FELLOWS
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ceo Declan Moore
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EDITORIAL DIRECTOR: Susan Goldberg
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BOARD OF DIRECTORS
CHAIRMAN: Gary E. Knell
Jean N. Case, Randy Freer, Kevin J. Maroni,
James Murdoch, Lachlan Murdoch, Peter Rice,
Frederick J. Ryan, Jr.
——
HOW SUGGESTIBLE ARE YOU?
“—
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—Seth Mnookin, author of The Panic Virus
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COULD THE SECRETS TO PERSONAL HEALTH LIE WITHIN OUR OWN BRAINS?
Journalist Erik Vance explores the surprising ways our expectations and beliefs
influence our bodily responses to pain, disease, and everyday events. This riveting
narrative explores the world of placebos, hypnosis, false memories, and neurology
to reveal the groundbreaking science of our suggestible minds.
WATCH NOW
AVAILABLE WHEREVER BOOKS ARE SOLD LIMES ROS AN INGROOVES NATIONAL
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3 QUESTIONS | EMILY BRIERE ~~
WHY I’M SENDING
A TIME CAPSULE
TO. MARS
Emily Briere is planning a mission to Mars. The
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a time capsule —a small satellite loaded with messages
from Earth — to the red planet. As mission director of
Time Capsule to Mars, she’s recruited students from
colleges across the United States to meet a goal she
describes as “ambitious, but just within reach.”
Voyager carried records designed to communi-
cate with aliens. Whom are you trying to reach?
The time capsule is a challenge for humans to get out
there and colonize Mars. One day, when we're there,
it’ll be the kind of thing that’s put in the National.
Geographic Museum or the Smithsonian to document
how far we’ve come.
How are you building the time capsule?
It'll be a low-cost mission using a CubeSat satellite
the size of two cereal boxes. You have to be a student
to do hands-on work on the project. We’re building
different subsystems at different universities. For
example, a lab at MIT is doing ion electric-based
propulsion, and a lab at Stanford is testing space
environments. We would be the secondary payload
of some big scientific mission. We’re saying we'll
launch in the next three to five years, but it’s really a
matter of funding. If everything were to go perfectly,
we could launch sooner.
What will the time capsule contain?
Digital photos, videos, audio uploaded by people
all around the world. We want the content of the
capsule to provide a very broad and full snapshot
of Earth as it is today. We’re on this mission to Mars
together as humanity, rather than as a country or as
an individual company. ,
PHOTO: REBECCA HALE, NGM STAFF. f
THIS INTERVIEW WAS EDITED FOR LENGTH AND CLARITY.
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CURIOUSER AND CURIOUSER
aa 1 cen More than 59 million followers catch a glimpse of the world’s wonders through the
@natgeo Instagram account, where National Geographic photographers share
moments both professional and personal. A new book, @NatGeo, showcases the
best of these images. The four pictures below are from the section on curiosity.
Find the book @NatGeo at shopng.com/natgeobook or wherever books are sold. And see
the photography in person at the @NatGeo exhibit from November 11, 2016, to April 30,
2017, at the National Geographic Museum, Washington, D.C.
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FLASH POINTS
By Catherine Zuckerman
Venezuela’s Lake Maracaibo holds the
bisiu betel aceyameymol-)belcmelelela em -Vaelssa ler Ms
largest lake by area, but the skies above
it also are record setting. There, light-
ning flashes most nights of the year,
new research shows—and perhaps no
other place on Earth experiences more
lightning annually.
The phenomenon is tied to topogra-
JO) SAVARST:AVASMOD OD AY(<) ASJIAVAO) Ret (ON =r-NEI Oba eloltcr
orology professor Rachel Albrecht, who
analyzed high-resolution satellite data
to determine where lightning flashes
most frequently. Lake Maracaibo sits in
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thunderstorms.
Of the 500 lightning “hot spots” that
the data revealed, more than half are
situated in Africa, and of the top 30
only six are not located near moun-
tain ranges. Other revelations: Oceanic
lightning tends to occur at night, while
terrestrial lightning tends to happen in
the afternoon.
LAUREN E. JAMES, NGM STAFF. SOURCE: “WHERE ARE THE LIGHTNING HOTSPOTS ON EARTH?”
RACHEL |. ALBRECHT AND OTHERS, BULLETIN OF THE AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY (2016)
PERSISTENCE VERSUS POWER
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over a million hybrids on the road today, Lexus continues electrifying the way forward.
lexus.com/hybrid | #LexusHybrid
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A SLEIGHFUL
OF SANTAS,
SURVEYED
By Patricia Edmonds
Take “Santa Claus Is Coming to Town,”
multiply it by several hundred, and you’ve
got what’s billed as the World’s Largest
Santa Convention, held this past July in
Branson, Missouri. At the five-day trade
show, Kris Kringle impersonators attend-
ed workshops on makeup and marketing,
beard care and Santa ethics. More than
550 Santas answered a survey about
playing the jolly old elf. Here are some
of the results.
Average age: 63.5 years, with a youngest Santa of 29 and asenior Santa
of 94. Average weight: 252 pounds, ranging from lightest Santa (130)
to heaviest (450). Is that “bowl full of jelly” belly real? 78% said
yes. Isthat your real beard? 93% said yes. Who has pulled your
beard to be sure it’s real? 67% said mostly children; 25% said mostly
adults. Do you dye, or don’t you? 49% claimed naturally white
hair/beard; 40% said they bleach or lighten. Has a child on your
lap ever wet on you? 31% said yes. Do you use an agent to help
get Santa bookings? 24% said yes. Are youatech-savvy elf? 50%
have a Facebook page as Santa; 44% have a Santa business website;
24% said, “Iam lucky ifI can just use email.” Have you attendeda
Santa school? 23% said no; the rest said they had attended at least
one. Favorite cookie: chocolate chip, 44%; oatmeal raisin, 20%;
sugar cookie, 9%. Favorite beverage: hot cocoa, 31%; milk, 25%;
egenog, 20% (alcohol content not specified). Favorite Christmas
song: “Santa Claus Is Coming to Town,” 21%; “Silent Night,” 18%;
“Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer,” 14%. Least favorite Christmas
song: “The Twelve Days of Christmas” and “Grandma Got Run Over
by a Reindeer” finished in a virtual tie, with each song getting less
than one percent of the vote.
PHOTO: DINA LITOVSKY
Credit approval required. Offered by Capital One Bank (USA),
EXPLORE | US
SERVING UP
JACKFRUIT
By Stacie Stukin
Spiky, gigantic, and fibrous, jackfruit
may not seem particularly inviting. But
the tropical fruit in its unripened state is
gaining popularity in the United States
as a sustainable substitute for meat.
Twenty-five percent of U.S. consumers
decreased their meat intake from 2014 to
2015, according to the Nutrition Business
Journal. And sales of meat alternatives
have nearly doubled—from $69 million
in 2011 to $109 million in 2015.
That may explain why some chefs and
food companies have begun promoting
jackfruit. It has a texture (though nota
protein content) like meat’s. It’s starchy
and neutral tasting, so “you can do any-
thing with it,” says chef Kajsa Alger, who
cooks with it at her L.A. restaurant.
It remains to be seen whether Ameri-
cans will embrace this South Asian staple,
which grows in abundance in its native
India. For one thing, jackfruit—from the
family that includes breadfruit, figs, and
mulberries—oozes a sticky, white sub-
stance when cut, and breaking one down
takes time. “Basically, they’re big and
uncooperative,” says Alger.
But for those who would sample, there
is ashortcut: The meaty fruit also comes
prepackaged and in cans.
PANTe\e1diaulimer-lamvi=s(elA)
FW ale lace |asvem efe)el ace (sym nal)
NV ae) (sMe)aloMsxs(=1 a alslas)
weighs about 20 pounds.
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WHAT PERCENT NEANDERTHAL ARE YOU?
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NATIONAL
se Helix GEOGRAPHIC
EXPLORE | FIELD NOTES
wee |
PVSTeMc1e) o/oLe) au ba lcmelelucie-balebbelcapbebsleneclnees ae A110) dQ KO) improve Sives protect the
planet, and advance human knowledge. On the following pages, we celebrate 16
individuals who have been Rolex laureates or Geographic explorers—or both—for
their vision and achievements.
A program profiling Rolex laureates will air on National Geographic on November 18 at 7:30/6:30c.
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC PRODUCED THIS EXPANDED VERSION OF FIELD NOTES
AS PART OF A PARTNERSHIP WITH THE ROLEX AWARDS FOR ENTERPRISE.
PHOTO: MARK THIESSEN, NGM STAFF
the Rolex Aware for E terprise se hat ar Testtctel | a paral lel mission: ider ine a Le
Jupiter’s moon Europa.
EXPLORE
| FIELD NOTES
Kakenya Ntaiya shares
some candlelight learning
time with students at the
Kakenya Center for Ex-
cellence. Ntaiya started
the rural Kenyan boarding
school in 2009 to help
improve girls’ lives by
extending their education.
The first 26 will finish high
school in 2017.
EDUCATION WHERE
IT WASN’T BEFORE
Kakenya Ntalya
Kakenya Ntaiya’s life was mapped out at
an early age, as it is for many traditional
Kenyan girls: a preordained engagement
at age five, followed by genital mutilation
at 14, which would mark the end of her
formal education and lead to marriage.
But she eventually persuaded her family
and her village of Enoosaen to allow her
to leave and get an education.
After earning a Ph.D. in education
from the University of Pittsburgh, Ntaiya
decided to pay it forward. Since May
2009, when she opened the Kakenya
Center for Excellence, a girls boarding
school in Enoosaen for fourth to eighth
graders, nearly 280 girls have attend-
ed. They gain knowledge and are en-
couraged to break the cycle of cultural
practices such as genital mutilation and
early forced marriage. The first 26 will
graduate from high school in 2017.
“Every year we have over 200 girls
wanting to come to the school, and
we can only take 40. That’s what’s
most frustrating,” says Ntaiya, a 2010
National Geographic emerging explorer.
Ntaiya hopes to raise five million dollars
to expand, and to boost enrollment to
600 girls by 2021.
THE PLAN TO PRESERVE
AN ANCIENT CAPITAL
Talal Akasheh
Talal Akasheh has
devoted half his life
to protecting the
2,500-year-old Jor-
danian city of Petra
from the ravages of
nature and neglect.
And at a time when many of his peers
have long since retired, AKkasheh, 69,
remains dogged in his efforts to preserve
the once thriving trade capital.
The 2008 Rolex laureate, who trained
as a chemist, created a research database
on Petra, mapping and analyzing nearly
3,000 archaeological features carved
from red sandstone. Akasheh spent three
years using photogrammetry to gauge
the stability of rocks in the Siq, the main
entrance to Petra. In 2015 he completed
a conservation plan for the ancient city.
There’s still time to conserve what’s
standing for scholars, tourists, and pos-
terity. But if parts of structures crumble,
Akasheh’s database can provide refer-
ences of how the originals looked.
LOOKING FOR LIFE
ON A FARAWAY MOON
Kevin Hand
The quest to find life on other planets has
intrigued scientists for eons. Astrobiolo-
gist Kevin Hand’s extraterrestrial search
could be complete in less than 15 years.
Hand (pictured on the previous page)
is a2014 Rolex Awards juror and 2011 Na-
tional Geographic emerging explorer. As
a deputy project scientist at NASA's Jet
Propulsion Laboratory, he oversees the
development of a concept for a lander
that will explore Jupiter’s moon Europa.
His research has taken him from ocean
floors to Antarctic glaciers, where he can
study life in extreme environments, like
PHOTOS: PHILIP SCOTT ANDREWS (LEFT); MARC LATZEL, ROLEX AWARDS
those on Europa. With luck, Hand says,
a launch could occur by 2024 and a ro-
botic vehicle could touch down by 2030.
A NEW RODENT, WITH
AN INSPIRED NAME
Erika Cuéllar
Conservation biol-
ogist Erika Cuéllar
displayed such dedi- eee
cationtoconservation A —™*.
in the Gran Chaco,a | ii f » | i WT
biodiverse regionin | 4 JHU
South America, that
her colleagues named a newly discovered
type of rodent after her: Erika’s tuco-tuco,
aka Ctenomys erikacuellarae.
The gopher-like tuco-tuco is native
to Bolivia. That’s where Cuellar, a 2012
Rolex laureate and 2013 emerging ex-
plorer, works to empower communities
by helping locals acquire conservation
Skills and expertise.
THE SECRET SAUCE
TO SAVE A CULTURE
Ilse Kohler-Rollefson
Got camel milk?
It’s acentral ques-
tion to Ilse Kohler-
Rollefson, a 2002
Rolex laureate ded-
icated to preserving
the camel-herding
lifestyles of India’s Raika people.
The nomadic pastoralists have herded
camels in the remote regions of Rajas-
than for centuries, but their way of life
is threatened by disappearing grazing
lands, mechanized farming, and falling
demand for camels. Kohler-Rollefson
believes camel milk—which some think
has medicinal benefits for people with
diabetes and children with autism—is
Key to the survival of Raika culture.
A veterinary surgeon, Kohler-
Rollefson helped start a small camel-
milk dairy that now produces about 150
liters a week; she aims to boost that to
300 liters a day to support new prod-
uct development. She hopes to help the
pastoralists market more cheese, soap,
wool—even artisanal paper made from
camel dung.
ALONE ONA
RUTHLESS MOUNTAIN
Lonnie Dupre
After three attempts
failed because of se-
vere weather, Lonnie
Dupre in 2015 became
the first mountaineer
to complete a Janu-
ary solo summit of Alaska’s Denali.
Dupre, a 2004 Rolex laureate, is now
planning another challenge: the first ever
January solo ascent of Alaska’s Mount
Hunter, considered among North Amer-
ica’s most difficult climbs. With 30 years’
experience, he has his training regimen
down to a science. But winnowing 19
days of food and supplies to fit into a
60-pound backpack is still daunting.
“Fuel is the number one priority,” he says.
You can go a little while without food,
but only two to three days without water,
and you need gas to melt snow.” He takes
high-fat, high-protein fare such as dried
PHOTOS (CLOCKWISE FROM TOP RIGHT): LONNIE DUPRE; MARC LATZEL,
ROLEX AWARDS; DIPTI DESAI; THIERRY GROBET, ROLEX AWARDS
Veteran explorer Lonnie
Dupre is accustomed to
long, solitary nights in
severe Arctic conditions.
But a successful January
solo ascent of Denali in
Alaska came only after
surviving a harrowing
storm at 11,200 feet.
EXPLORE
| FIELD NOTES
Rwanda’s gray crowned
crane population dwin-
dled to fewer than 500
before veterinarian Olivier
Nsengimana became
a driving force to rescue
and revitalize the en-
dangered species, the
target of poachers and
traffickers.
meats—and aluxury item: “The one thing
I allow myself is a good cup of coffee.”
USING COMIC BOOKS
TO HELP PROTECT BIRDS
Olivier Nsengimana
To save Rwanda’s endangered gray
crowned crane from extinction, vet-
erinarian Olivier Nsengimana is using
everything from comic books to high-
tech drones.
The comic books help educate
Rwanda’s youth about conservation
and biodiversity. Such awareness is
vital in a country where scores of gray
crowned cranes, chicks, and eggs have
been poached from their marsh habitat
and trafficked as symbols of wealth
and longevity.
Their global population is down nearly
80 percent over the past five decades,
and fewer than 500 remain in the wild
in Rwanda. Nsengimana, a 2014 Rolex
laureate, stepped in to stop the illegal
trade, promote breeding, protect hab-
itat, and return captive birds to the
wild. So far, 216 captive cranes have
been identified and registered; 98 have
been reintroduced to Rwanda’s Akagera
National Park.
NUCLEAR ENERGY COMING
TO THE 21ST CENTURY
Leslie Dewan
Nuclear power has
been under a dark
cloud in the Unit-
ed States since the
partial meltdown at
Three Mile Island in
1979. But Leslie De-
wan, a nuclear engineer and 2015 Na-
tional Geographic emerging explorer,
believes a safe, next-generation nuclear
reactor offers a brighter outlook.
Dewan’s Boston area—based start-
up, Transatomic Power, is developing
a molten-salt reactor based on a 1960s
design. In commercial use, the reactor
would process and repurpose spent nu-
clear fuel—the U.S. stockpile is 82,700
tons—and produce enough energy to
power the world for decades.
Her goal is to have a prototype by the
early 2020s and a commercial reactor
by the 2030s.
EAVESDROPPING ON
OCEAN NOISE POLLUTION
Michel André
French bioacousti-
cian and 2002 Rolex
laureate Michel An-
dré spent more than
a decade developing
the first passive whale
anticollision system
to prevent the sea mammals from col-
liding with ships off the Canary Islands.
Over the next 10 years, he helped build
Listening to the Deep Ocean Environ-
ment, a platform linking 22 major un-
derwater observatories to create a global
record of how human-caused ocean noise
affects marine life’s ability to hunt, feed,
and dwell in ocean waters. “Noise is con-
sidered a form of pollution,” André says.
“But unlike other sources of contamina-
tion, it’s easier to solve.”
PHOTOS (CLOCKWISE FROM TOP LEFT): THIERRY GROBET, ROLEX AWARDS;
LYNN JOHNSON, NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC CREATIVE; ERIC VANDEVILLE, ROLEX AWARDS
DINOSAUR EDUCATION
FOR ALL KIDS
Bolortsetseg Minjin
Bolortsetseg “Bolor”
Minjin was one of
Mongolia’s first wom-
en to earn a Ph.D. in
paleontology. Now
the 2010 National
Geographic emerging
explorer is inspiring a new generation of
fossil hunters.
Mongolia’s Gobi desert is one of the
world’s most diverse fossil areas. That’s
because, in the past, it was a humid
region with vast freshwater lakes and
rivers, a paradise for plant life and di-
nosaurs. Even so, few Mongolian kids
today have the fascination for dinosaurs
that kids elsewhere do, Bolor notes.
“Dinosaurs are more of a mythical crea-
ture to kids in my country because
there have been no resources to learn
about them.”
In addition to a bus that now hosts a
dinosaur exhibit, Bolor hopes to broaden
educational outreach. She’s currently
raising money to break ground in 2018
on the first of several museums.
BRINGING NATURE TO
PRISON INMATES
Nalini Nadkarni
It’s a long way from
Costa Rica’s rain
forests to a Washing-
ton State prison, but
Nalini Nadkarni is
comfortable in both.
The field biologist
has spent much of her career studying
plant life dwelling in the forest canopy.
Her penchant for scaling 200-foot-tall
ceiba trees once spurred her to develop
a Treetop Barbie doll. But after years
of fieldwork, she turned to developing
nature programs for prison inmates
while teaching at Washington’s Ever-
green State College. Her Sustainability
in Prisons Project has since spread to
several states.
Nadkarni, a National Geographic
grantee and University of Utah biology
professor, has also spread her gospel
about nature to minority groups and
faith congregations. “Rather than saying,
“You need to read my articles or attend
my lectures to understand my science, ”
she says that she prefers “appealing to
people in their own venues.”
THE LESSONS EARLY
HUMANS STILL TEACH
David Lordkipanidze
Scientists found
1.8-million-year-old
fossils in Dmani-
Si, Georgia, more
than 25 years ago.
Today evidence
PHOTOS (CLOCKWISE FROM TOP RIGHT): MARCO GROB; IRA KURMAEVA; LAWRENCE BOYE,
UNIVERSITY OF UTAH/NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC CREATIVE; MARK THIESSEN, NGM STAFF
EXPLORE
Rolex was an early sup-
porter of anthropologist
Johan Reinhard, a long-
time National Geographic
explorer-in-residence.
In 1999 Reinhard’s team
made a historic discovery:
the 500-year-old frozen
remains of a teenage girl
sacrificed to Inca gods
atop Argentina’s Volcan
Llullaillaco.
| FIELD NOTES
is still emerging of the earliest
known human ancestors to venture
outside Africa.
David Lordkipanidze, a paleoanthro-
pologist and 2004 Rolex laureate, headed
the 1991 excavation of the Dmanisi site,
which led to the theory that all early
Homo fossils belong to the same species.
As head of the Georgian State Muse-
um in nearby Tbilisi, he still visits the
site at least twice each week. “I couldn't
imagine my life without this place,”
he says. Teams have excavated 5,980
square yards, just 10 percent of the ex-
plorable site.
SAFE PLACES FOR SHARKS
AND FISH TO HANG OUT
Barbara Block
Using cutting-edge
technology to mon-
itor the movements
of sharks, billfish, and
bluefin tuna, marine
biologist Barbara
Block has developed a trove of informa-
tion on the secret lives of ocean predators.
As co-chief scientist for the Census of
Marine Life’s Tagging of Pacific Predators
project, Block helped identify several
marine hot spots—hunting grounds
where predators find abundant krill,
sardines, squid, anchovies, and salmon.
One of these hot spots, now California’s
Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctu-
ary, is featured in Block’s 2016 science
documentary, Blue Serengeti.
Like land-based parks, Block says,
these areas need conservation and pro-
tection so they can continue to foster
the diversity of species. “What we’ve
found is that, like clockwork, they come
back to the same neighborhood,” says
the 2012 Rolex laureate, who is trying to
raise funds to develop antipoaching tags
for vulnerable marine species.
“The biggest problem is unregulated
and illegal fishing,” Block points out.
“We're only just getting a handle on it
through technology.”
TRACKING BATS WITHOUT
THEM KNOWING
Winifred Frick
After earning a de-
gree in environmen-
tal studies, Winifred
Frick was waiting
to begin graduate
school when she met
her future husband,
bat biologist Paul Heady. “I fell in love
with him and bats at the same time,’ says
Frick, a National Geographic grantee.
In the years since, she has studied bat
ecology and conservation witha focus on
white-nose syndrome, a fungal disease
of bats that has devastated hibernating
colonies in North America.
This spring, Frick, senior director of
conservation science for Texas-based
Bat Conservation International, will
begin a yearlong study of the migration
patterns of the lesser long-nosed bat in
Mexico’s Baja Peninsula. She aims to col-
lar 50 bats with GPS transmitters, which
will yield detailed tracking data when
the bats return to their caves in 2018.
PHOTOS (CLOCKWISE FROM TOP LEFT): JOHAN REINHARD;
WINIFRED FRICK; BART MICHIELS, ROLEX AWARDS
BOO DS LN eo GS OULD Ee. IPN Aout Il ees OR
=
aa
'
x £
Mei
GLOBAL MINISERIES EVENT
FRIDAYS 9/8c
PREMIERES NOV 25
L WILD
WildSavageKingdom.com
© 2016 National Geographic Partners, LLC. Nat Geo WILD and the Yellow Border design are trademarks of National Geographic Society; used with permission.
S
E
WOTIG DE
EVENTS & OPPORTUNITIES e ADVERTISING & PROMOTIONS
STATEMENT OF OWNERSHIP, MANAGEMENT,
AND MONTHLY CIRCULATION OF
CANON IMAGING PLAZA
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
: i OWNER AND PUBLISHER: National Geographic Partners, LLC
Canon offers the Canon Imaging Plaza YouTube channel | REL aN GRE. CEO
as a resource for photo enthusiasts to learn more about SUSAN GOLDBERG, Editor in Chief
digital photography, Canon products, and the fun and joy of ia cos hk cea ase haba eldedek
. . : . as 1145 SEVENTEENTH STREET N.W., WASHINGTON, DC 20036
capturing images and videos with a digital camera. Canon | STOCKHOLDERS; BONDHOLDERS; MORTGAGE;
believes that dedicated digital cameras provide users with OTHER SECURITY HOLDERS: National Geographic Society and 21st Century Fox
the best means of capturing life’s special moments.
AVERAGE NUMBER SINGLE ISSUE
COPIES EACH ISSUE DURING NEAREST TO
Learn more at PRECEDING 12 MOS. FILING DATE
youtube.com/user/canonimagingplaza A. TOTAL COPIES PRINTED Oct. 2015-Sept. 2016 September 2016
(Net Press Run) 3,908,085 3,860,105
B. PAID CIRCULATION
1. Outside-County Mail Subscriptions 2,676,542 2,694,159
2. In-County Mail Subscriptions - 7
3. Single-Copy Sales/Non-USPS Paid Distribution 886,212 851,930
4. Other Classes Mailed Through USPS = -
C. TOTAL PAID CIRCULATION 3,562,754 3,546,089
D. FREE DISTRIBUTION (Includes samples, no news agents)
1. Outside-County 63,784 59,207
2. In-County - -
3. Other Classes Mailed Through USPS = -
4. Free Distribution Outside the Mail 3,607 3,116
E. TOTAL FREE DISTRIBUTION 67,391 62,323
F. TOTAL DISTRIBUTION
(Sum of C and E) 3,630,145 3,608,412
G. OFFICE USE, LEFTOVERS, ETC. 277,940 251,693
H. TOTAL (Sum of F and G) 3,908,085 3,860,105
|. PERCENT PAID 98% 98%
KENNEDY SPACE CENTER
VISITOR COMPLE
Kennedy Space Center Visitor Complex™ is
the only destination in the universe where
you can touch a moon rock, walk under
Space Shuttle Atlantis®, meet an astronaut,
and glimpse the future of space exploration.
Go behind the gates of America’s spaceport
to view active launch pads and the site from
which we’ll depart for Mars. Discover what
it takes to be a hero at Heroes & Legends,
a new immersive experience that brings the
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is where rockets launch and inspirational
journeys begin!
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Explore more at KennedySpaceCenter.com
or call 855.418.6648.
VISITOR COMPLEX
EXPLORE |
BASIC INSTINCTS
ROMANTIC
ATTACHMENT
By Patricia Edmonds
Keeping your mate extraordinarily
close—as in permanently fused to your
body—has its advantages.
A mile or more down in the lightless
ocean, deep-sea anglerfish search for
partners. The 162 species of this Ceratioid
suborder form odd couples: The males
are dwarfed, the females many times
larger (some three feet long). Yet they’re
uniquely equipped to find each other.
The male’s outsize nostrils pick up
the female’s waterborne pheromones.
His well-developed eyes search for a
spot of light: the bioluminescent lure
on a stalk adorning the female’s brow.
Ted Pietsch, a University of Washington
ichthyologist, says the lures’ different
shapes, pigment patterns, and flash
patterns tell a male when he’s found a
female of his species to hook up with.
“Hook up” is putting it mildly. Rather
than risk separation from his mate inthe
vast dark, the male clamps his teeth onto
some part of her and stays put. “Eventu-
ally the skin of male and female grows
together,” Pietsch says; vessels join “so
her blood flows through his body.” Fins
and other disused body parts wither away
until the male is only what the female
needs him to be: a sperm factory.
This sexual parasitism bears fruit.
When the female’s eggs are ready, she
signals the male. As he releases sperm,
she releases a gelatinous egg mass that
expands in water, absorbing the sperm.
The buoyant mass of fertilized eggs
slowly rises to the ocean’s upper reach-
es. There the larvae hatch and fatten
on plankton. As they start to mature,
Pietsch says, the anglerfish will make
“the great vertical migration” back to
the dark deep to find mates of their own.
CERATIOID
ANGLERFISH
HABITAT/RANGE
Deep waters
of every ocean
CONSERVATION STATUS
For most species, too
little data to assess risk
OTHER FACTS
Like this Haplophryne
mollis (above), some
Ka) aateliesom alc\Viom sale)acmualclal
(o)atemaatclicmslutc\eval=\o mm Maly
known record is eight.
PHOTO: PETER DAVID, GETTY IMAGES
STARTALK |
WITH NEIL DEGRASSE TYSON
Geek in Space
Why did we dress author Andy Weir, the guy who wrote The Martian,
in a space suit that actor Matt Damon wore in the movie? To celebrate
a launch. This is the debut of a recurring Q&A with astrophysicist
Neil deGrasse Tyson, drawn from interviews for his StarTalk podcast
and television show. The first guest: self-described science geek Weir.
Neil deGrasse Tyson: So Andy, were
you a geeky kid? I have to ask.
Andy Weir: Well, of course I was a geeky
kid! Do I look like someone who wasn’t?
NT: Does that mean you did well in your
science and math classes? Were you
abused for that?
AW: Yes, absolutely. Although I’m not
sure if I was abused for being good at sci-
ence or because I’m an inveterate smart-
ass. Probably more the latter.
NT: So, college: What’d you major in?
AW: Computer science and engineering.
NT: Am I correct in supposing that your
English teachers would’ve never said,
“Oh, he’ll be a great novelist one day”?
AW: Yeah, I think my English teachers
would agree I'd make a great mathema-
tician someday. I’d always wanted to be
a writer, even when I was in high school.
But I also liked eating regular meals, and
so when the time came to choose a ca-
reer, I went with software engineering.
NT: How did writing The Martian begin?
AW: In 1999, I was working for AOL, and
I got laid off when they merged with
Netscape. I had a bunch of money in
stock options, so I took three years off.
I wrote a book, it did not get published,
and I just decided writing is going to be
my hobby. So I set up a web page, wrote
short stories and serials—and The Mar-
tian was one of those serials. It did really
well, which led me to self-publish it to
Amazon. It made it into the top sellers,
PHOTOS: DAN WINTERS
THIS INTERVIEW WAS EDITED FOR LENGTH AND CLARITY.
that got the attention of Random House,
and they offered me a book deal. It was
like all my dreams coming true.
While I was writing the book, anytime
I was tempted to take a shortcut and have
unrealistic science or physics, I’d say,
“What if Neil deGrasse Tyson reads this?
He will notice, and he will point it out.”
NT: I don’t Know if ’m happy or sad that
that was your mental state at the time.
In The Martian all we care about is
whether the main character survives
on his scientific wit. I don’t care about
interpersonal relationships. I don’t care
if his parents are alive or dead, if he’s
married, has kids. I just care if the stuff
he’s figuring out is going to work. And
he’s tapping science, technology, engi-
neering, and math: all the STEM fields.
That may be without precedent.
AW: Well, see, no one would accuse The
Martian of being literature, right? The
main character, Mark Watney, is exactly
the same at the end of the story as he is
at the beginning. He doesn’t undergo
any change—no personality crisis, no
nothing. And I don’t feel bad about that.
I’m completely unrepentant.
NT: So at no time are you developing
the character?
AW: Never.
NT: Could you have invented a new
genre here?
AW: I’ve heard people describe it as
competence porn.
NT: What I liked about the film was that
Neil deGrasse Tyson
LEAVE A WISE LEGACY
“When it came to oe .
deciding where my oe
money would go, |
chose places that | felt
would make an effort
to continue doing
what | have tried to
do in my lifetime—
Xe | fot-] X= of-To) 9) (-B-Vae.
illuminate issues.
— Barbara Flowers, who included
the National Geographic Society
in her estate plans.
Giles 70 IE eG sieve (Oy SO) UI Owe N
el Yes! Please send me information on how to include Name
a |
the National Geographic Society in my will. Address
| | The National Geographic Society has already
been included in in my will. Phone
Email
] | would like to speak to someone about making
a gift. Please call me. Mail to National Geographic Society
Office of Planned Giving
NATIONAL 1145 17th Street, N.W.
GEOGRAPHIC Washington, D.C. 20036-4688
The National Geographic Society is a 501(c)(3) tax-exempt organization. CONTACT US: Email: plannedgiftinfo@ngs.org
Our federal tax ID number is 53-0193519. Toll free: (800) 226-4438 16PGFC12B
STARTALK
for the first time in my life experience,
looking at storytelling in film, science
was a character unto itself.
AW: That was part of the goal. I didn’t set
out to say, “People need to understand
science more.” I was just like, “This is
really cool to me. I want other people to
feel that feeling.”
NT: The movie takes place in 2035.
That’s not a random time, presumably.
AW: No. I calculated all the orbital trajec-
tories that the spacecraft Hermes has to
take to get from Earth to Mars and back,
based on an ion propulsion drive that
can provide a constant two millimeters
per second per second [mm/s?] acceler-
ation—which, as I’m sure you Know, is
way more than we can do right now.
NT: These are real launch windows if we
were actually to do this? So you have far
more accurate information in this story
than most people will ever know.
AW: Yes. And in fact, some orbital dy-
namicists actually double-checked my
calculations, and I was only off by about
2 percent. That’s pretty big when you’re
talking about interplanetary stuff...
NT: But for fiction purposes...
AW: It will do.
NT: Right. So now you're on Mars. Do
you say, “I have to invent some non-
realistic stuff to tell my story. I did
everything else right, now give me some
latitude”? You know what scene I’m
thinking of in particular.
AW: You're talking about the sandstorm.
NT: The dust storm. It’s never a sand-
storm, because the air is not thick
enough to carry sand.
AW: Right.
NT: For those who might have not seen
the film: You have a spaceship that
wants to take off, and there’s a dust
storm—very common on Mars—whose
pressure is so great that it’s tipping the
spaceship. But the Martian atmosphere
is so thin, and the mass of dust that it
carries is so low, that a dust storm can’t
tip over a spaceship.
AW: It cannot possibly. It could barely
tip over a piece of paper.
NT: And I’ve defended you, by the way.
I’ve said, “Look, he needs it to tell the
story. At least he got the fact that Mars
has dust storms.”
AW: Before I had the dust storm, I hada
different idea, but this is a man-versus-
nature story, so I wanted nature to get
the first punch in. That was the most fun
part: coming up with stuff to throw at
him and figuring out how he’d solve it.
NT: Did you feel at any point in the nov-
el, “OK, this will actually kill him”?
AW: Oh sure. There were lots of places
where I came up with a problem that was
So severe there was no way for him to
survive. In those cases, I would either
give him some piece of technology that
enables him to solve the problem or I’d
just have that problem not occur.
NT: For me it didn’t matter whether
I knew he was going to die or not. I’m
invested in, Can he solve this problem?
AW: That’s because you're a geek, like me.
It would’ve been a helluva shock if he
had died at the end, right? It’s like a
James Bond movie: He’s in constant life-
threatening peril, but you don’t actually
think he’s going to die. You're really just
curious how he doesn’t die.
NT: Exactly.
.
a
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Fa
a:
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mal |
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Cans full of film reels
surround Andy Weir ina
storage vault at the 20th
Century Fox Studios in
Los Angeles.
ANDi
iv t
pik,
Li y 8
bi
At the University of Florida, Parkinson’s
disease patient Russell Price undergoes
surgery to implant a microelectrode that
WU IIMeC=d Iho) are ce=) eM e)e-llakciilanleltcie(elam(B)=t<))
iKomaneyice)abrece)alige)|iiatemey-lac-meymal(cwele-lian
|DYotei Ko) g-melo)amm dare) mae) matleceiakelm-m eles-Ji aio)
result would be due to the treatment and
how much to the placebo effect. “The line
oX=yANici-aMaasy-l tenis) almrs [ace me) t-lexselem we) (Ulaa(-le
than ever,” says neurologist Michael Okun.
PHOTOGRAPHED AT McKNIGHT BRAIN INSTITUTE,
UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA
Youre notjust
what you eat,
or do, or think.
NOURI AIL
you believe.
Tame) qexcve Mu @r-|lie)ealt-Mumlanlelalemjar-lnarslaM'ccMiV(clalep more
performs a home-based curing ceremony for aman
WVatoM ili MlimelCl alate W- Wiel ac-)e-|Mmon.(-(-)oMalce-yolulmige)an|
oy=\iavemele-\Vanlalcemial-melave(-)auvela(eMiitamial=me(-vercr-\-{-10m
ital=e-xe)0| Meo) m-M-y-(e1 gi i(ex-ve elie m Mey ic=)e-10N aK=) Coval-lale (om
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(crcl idakow aless)e) ie] Mam iv(sieexcvemsliCeicecyarelaatclarsmcem ela 4
with patients in its medical facility.
By Erik Vance
Photographs by Erika Larsen
The pilgrim wasn’t sure he’d make it to the
Chapel of Grace. It was agony to walk at all, let
alone endure the 70 miles that thousands of
believers trek each year to behold an enshrined
wood statue: the Black Madonna of Altotting.
Richard Modl had recently broken his heel,
but in 2003 he was determined to complete his
first pilgrimage from Regensburg to Altotting,
Germany. He figured if the pain got too bad he
could always hitch a ride. But he had a deep
faith in the Virgin Mary’s ability to deliver him.
So he walked. And walked. “When you are on
your way to Altotting, you almost don’t feel the
pain,” he says.
Today, at 74, Modl has a warm smile and a wiry
frame that looks as if it could survive a charging
rhinoceros. Since the healing of his foot, he’s
made the pilgrimage 12 more times, and he’s a
passionate believer in its transformative power.
Médd1 is not alone in his belief. Whether it takes
34 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
the form of a touch of the Holy Spirit at a Flor-
ida revival meeting or a dip in the water of the
Ganges, the healing power of belief is all around
us. Studies suggest that regular religious ser-
vices may improve the immune system, decrease
blood pressure, add years to our lives.
Religious faith is hardly the only kind of be-
lief that has the ability to make us feel inexpli-
cably better. Six thousand miles from Altotting,
another man experienced what seemed to be a
medical miracle.
Mike Pauletich first noticed he had a problem
in 2004. His aim with a baseball was off, and his
arm hurt. His hand shook a little, and, strangest
of all, his wife noticed he never smiled anymore.
Figuring he had carpal tunnel syndrome, he
went to the doctor. But his bad aim wasn’t be-
cause of his arm, and the reason he wasn’t smil-
ing wasn’t because his arm hurt. At 42 years old,
Pauletich had early onset Parkinson’s disease.
His doctor told him that within a decade he
wouldn't be able to walk, stand, or feed himself.
Pauletich didn’t deteriorate as much as his
doctor predicted, but for years he struggled with
the disease and with depression, as talking and
writing became ever harder. Then, in 2011, he
turned to Ceregene, a company that was testing
Maximillian Klement (left) and Benedikt Braun, 18
and 21, carry a statue of the Virgin Mary during an
annual pilgrimage in Germany to the Shrine of Our
Lady of Altotting, where healing rituals have taken
place since medieval times. In Siena, Italy, at the
Basilica Cateriniana San Domenico, the shrine of
St. Catherine, which includes her mummified head
(opposite), beckons to Roman Catholic pilgrims
seeking cures. “If you have doubt,” says local guide
Chiara Biccellari, “you will receive nothing.”
—— — —
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Ex-votos, or offerings, in the form of snapshots fill a
prayer room at the back of the Santuario Madonna
fo(=)/vVenlelgommiami/(elaic=1ce)adiavommht-|\VaM Malo\AUclaom (28 mle)
ake) ol=Ke) me) me] e-14inele(= mae) matct-lllavemeed ae le|(stow are \Vic)
aloe iar-imr-ian-lalellatema=telelrslmaciile| ele tect) aulerers
ror-] aM aatsy<\-10 ele) Nalin) eee omarcrclitae
Tiny cues as we walk
into a hospital—many
of which are experienced
unconsciously—trigger
responses in our bodies.
a new gene therapy. Parkinson’s is the result ofa
chronic loss of the neurotransmitter dopamine.
It had been shown in monkeys that injections of
a protein called neurturin could halt the prog-
ress of the disease by protecting and possibly re-
pairing damaged dopamine-secreting neurons.
Ceregene’s experimental treatment was to cut
two holes, one in each hemisphere of the brain,
through a patient’s skull and inject the drug di-
rectly into the target regions.
Pauletich’s improvement after the surgery was
impressive. Before the trial he had struggled to
move around. He had to constantly explain to
clients of his technology development company
that his slurred speech wasn’t caused by drink-
ing. After the procedure his shaking disappeared,
his mobility improved, and his speech became
markedly clearer. (Today you can hardly tell he
has the disease at all.) His doctor on the study,
Kathleen Poston, was astonished. Strictly speak-
ing, Parkinson’s had never been reversed in
humans; the best one could hope for was a slow-
down in the progression of the disease, and even
that was extremely rare.
In April 2013, Ceregene announced the results
of the trial: Neurturin had failed. Patients who
had been treated with the drug did not improve
any more significantly than those in a control
group who had received a placebo treatment—a
sham surgery in which a doctor drilled “divots”
into the patient’s skull so that it would feel as
if there had been an operation. Ceregene was
bought by another company in 2013, and its
work on neurturin for Parkinson’s has not been
continued.
Poston was crushed. But then she looked at
the data and noticed something that stopped
38 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
her cold. Mike Pauletich hadn't gotten the real
surgery. He had gotten the placebo.
IN A SENSE both Pauletich and Modl partici-
pated in a performance, one that we humans
have been engaging in for thousands of years,
every time we go to healers with the hope that
they can make us feel better. And just as a good
performance in a theater can draw us in until we
feel we’re watching something real, the theater
of healing is designed to draw us in by creating
powerful expectations in our brains. These ex-
pectations drive the so-called placebo effect,
which can affect what happens in our bodies as
well. Scientists have known about the placebo
effect for decades and have used it as a control
in drug trials. Now they are seeing placebos as
a window into the neurochemical mechanisms
that connect the mind with the body, belief with
experience.
How does a belief become so potent it can heal?
Back to the theater: A crucial part of an inspiring
performance is sets and costumes. When Paule-
tich experienced improvement in his symptoms,
it wasn’t just because of the divots he could feel
in his head or what the doctors told him about
surgery. It was the whole scene he’d experienced:
the doctors in their white coats, stethoscopes
PET scans show nearly equal amounts of
dopamine released in the brain of a Parkinson’s
patient when the drug L-dopa was administered
(left) and when the same patient took an inert
pill, or placebo, after being told there was a
75 percent chance the pill would be L-dopa.
Expectations triggered by placebos are espe-
cially effective with nervous system disorders.
SARAH LIDSTONE, UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA
around their necks; the nurses, checkups, tests,
maybe even the bad music in the hospital waiting
room. Physicians sometimes call these trappings
around hospitals the theater of medicine.
This stagecraft extends to many aspects of
treatment and can operate on a subconscious
level. Expensive placebos work better than
cheap ones. Placebos in brand-name contain-
ers work better than those labeled generics.
Placebo suppositories work better in France,
while the English prefer to swallow their place-
bos. Often fake injections work better than fake
pills. But fake surgeries seem to be the most
powerful of all.
Most astonishingly, placebos can work even
when the person taking them Knows they are
placebos. This was reported in a now classic 2010
paper published by Ted Kaptchuk, a researcher
at Harvard Medical School, and his team. After
21 days of taking a placebo, people with irritable
Mike Pauletich, during a trial at Stanford
University, believed he had surgery to alleviate
Parkinson’s symptoms. In fact he’d received
a sham surgery — but he did feel significant relief.
“Whether it was placebo or some effect of
a drug,” he says, “it doesn’t matter to me.”
bowel syndrome felt markedly better when com-
pared with people who received nothing, even
though those who reported feeling relief were
told beforehand (and reminded afterward) that
they were receiving placebos.
The experiment showed that a supportive
patient-practitioner relationship was Key in cre-
ating belief in a successful outcome. Patients
were educated about the power of placebos and
positive attitude. They were told that the place-
bo pills had been shown, in rigorous clinical test-
ing, to induce meaningful self-healing processes.
They were instructed to (Continued on page 48)
MIND OVER MATTER 39
While Russell Price remains awake, doctors
Taksx)a arc maalcergey=y(sveddaece(-Blamalcecy .cUlimaucsyie)iomial
CT scan, right) that will deliver DBS to the brain
regions where Parkinson’s creates such debilitat-
Take R=y'40n) o)Xe)aatcw- low ta) ance) smug le lol invam (es-\-me) ml el-l(-lalerom
and slowed movement. Price’s wife says his
speech is better. His tremors have lessened,
and he feels like a different person.
LEFT: PHOTOGRAPHED AT McKNIGHT BRAIN INSTITUTE.
RIGHT: PHOTOGRAPHED BY MAX AGUILERA-HELLWEG FROM A CT
IMAGE PROVIDED BY KELLY FOOTE, UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA
Va
Pathways Expectations and conditioning from past experiences continue to shape how
we feel pain. For some, a strong belief that a treatment will heal an ailment can
of Pain and prompt the brain to tap into its own pharmacy, flooding the nervous system
with medicating neurotransmitters and hormones. This is the placebo effect.
Placebo Its inverse, the nocebo effect, can be activated if a patient anticipates a negative
experience; this expectation can cause pain to increase.
PAIN
From the body to the brain
A painful sensation travels from
the site of injury in the body through
the peripheral nervous system
and along the spinal cord to reach
the brain.
PAIN
The memory of pain
The past informs how the brain and body
respond to future pain and treatment.
These physiological memories of pain
guide placebo and nocebo effects.
RELIEF
From the brain to the body
Pharmaceutical treatments trigger the
brain to release hormones and neuro-
transmitters into the central nervous
system, modulating the pain signal.
TREATMENT
The brain’s
apothecary
Neurotransmitters and hormones
regulate many body functions. They
also play roles in placebo and nocebo
responses by blocking, amplifying, or
diminishing signals that instruct our
minds how to react to outside stimuli.
Opioids
Endorphins, the body’s
natural opioids, attach
to the same receptors
as synthetic painkillers,
modulating sensations like
pain, hunger, and thirst.
42 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
Endocannabinoids
The endocannabinoid system
connects the body with the part
of the brain that controls mood,
appetite, and pain. Some
internal cannabinoids are
similar to THC in marijuana.
The placebo effect
The expectation of pain relief with
treatment can create a placebo effect,
activating a neurochemical response
that intercepts and inhibits pain.
An expectation of pain relief
from treatment is processed
by the prefrontal cortex and
other cortical regions.
Expectation
of treatment
The nocebo effect
The part of the brain associated with
memory and anxiety can cause more
intense pain. The physiological processes
of anocebo effect are less understood
because they are ethically difficult to test.
Dopamine
Placebos can cause the
release of dopamine in
the brain; it regulates desire,
pleasure, and reward. When
anocebo effect kicks in,
dopamine is deactivated.
JASON TREAT, NGM STAFF; KELSEY NOWAKOWSKI
ART: STUDIO MUTI. SOURCES: IRENE TRACEY, UNIVERSITY
OF OXFORD; FABRIZIO BENEDETTI, UNIVERSITY OF TURIN
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Prostaglandins
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2. Response
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Released neurochemicals
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Pain signal
from body
CCK
Released by anxiety,
cholecystokinin can work
against the ameliorating
effect of opioids —a
nocebo effect that
increases pain.
MIND OVER MATTER 43
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(Continued from page 39) take the pills faithful-
ly, missing no doses.
“Dealing with expectation is very tricky,” says
Kaptchuk, who has spent his life studying pla-
cebo effects. “We’re dealing with very imprecise
measuring of a very imprecise phenomenon.
And a lot of it’s nonconscious.”
Karin Jensen, one of Kaptchuk’s former col-
leagues who now runs her own lab at the Karo-
linsKa Institute in Stockholm, Sweden, designed
an experiment to determine whether it was pos-
sible to use subliminal cues to condition subjects
to experience a placebo effect.
During the conditioning phase of the exper-
iment, subjects viewed alternating faces on a
screen. Jensen used faces in her experiment be-
cause our brains are particularly adept at quick-
ly recognizing them. Half the subjects received
subliminal cues: The faces appeared for just a
fraction of a second—not long enough to con-
sciously tell them apart. For the other subjects,
the facial cues appeared long enough for them to
be consciously recognized.
During this first phase, varying heat stimuli
were delivered to the subjects’ arms along with
the facial cues: more heat with the first face, less
heat with the second. In the testing phase that
followed, the subjects, including those who saw
only the quick-flash subliminal cues, reported
feeling more pain when they saw the first face, al-
though the heat stimuli remained moderate and
identical for both faces. The subjects had thus
developed an unconscious link between greater
pain and the first face.
Reporting for this story was supported by
a grant from the Pulitzer Center.
48 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
The experiment showed that a placebo re-
sponse can be conditioned subliminally. Jen-
sen points out that tiny cues as you walk into
a hospital—many of which are experienced
unconsciously—trigger responses in our bod-
ies in a similar way. “Part of healing is noncon-
scious—something that happens instinctually,”
she says.
HOSPITALS ARE JUST one common venue for
the theater of belief. There are hundreds of al-
ternative medical treatments that harness our
expectations—homeopathy, acupuncture, tra-
ditional Chinese medicines, urine therapy, cow
dung tablets, human blood facials, vitamin in-
fusions, sound healing, to name a few—all with
varying levels of proven efficacy.
“Belief is natural. It comes partly from the
way our minds are hardwired,” says Tanya Luhr-
mann, an anthropologist at Stanford University
who has dedicated much of her professional life
to understanding people’s interactions with God.
She says that belief-based healing requires
not only a good story but also the effort of an
active listener—one with the ability to make
what is imagined feel real. When story and
imagination sync, the results can be astound-
ing. “Humans have the capacity to change their
experience,” she says. “These are skills, and we
can learn them.”
I’d heard of the belief-based healing of the
brujos, or witch doctors, of Catemaco, in the
state of Veracruz on the eastern coast of Mex-
ico. They are particularly theatrical healers,
blending shamanistic traditions with Roman
Catholicism much as Christians did a thou-
sand years ago. I’d heard stories of massive,
pentagram-shaped bonfires and dancing mad-
men who spit all over you as a blessing. Certain-
ly worth a visit.
But when I arrived in Catemaco and made
my way to a modern brujo’s office, I found no
fires or whooping shamans. Far from the dark,
bat-infested cave I’d expected, the waiting area
turned out to be a tidy little living room that
smelled of disinfectant. Plastic amulets and
glass crystals lined the shelves. About 10 people
sat in chairs, reading magazines or watching
soccer on TV. As witch doctors go, the brujo
who greeted me looked more doctor than witch.
Dressed all in white, he sported a neat mustache
and short, heavily gelled hair. Half his office was
taken up by an altar packed with crucifixes, stat-
ues of saints, flowers, and hundreds of blinking,
colored lights.
I’d come for a simple limpia—a cleansing of
my spirit. The brujo grabbed an egg, a few sprigs
of basil, and a couple of plastic squirt bottles
filled with what he said were envy blockers,
bad-energy protection, and a liquid that makes
wealth. Everything was orderly and sanitized. Af-
ter a short interview, he got down to the business
of my spirit, squirting me liberally with pungent
oils and rubbing an egg over my body before
cracking it open into a glass of water and exam-
ining the contents.
I was familiar with this routine—it’s common
among brujos in Mexico. What surprised me
was the lack of pomp or mumbo jumbo. It was
more clinical than ceremonial. The brujo asked
about my knees and lower back (both fine) and
informed me that the egg indicated I might be
in for some pain in the future. Like a radiologist
explaining features on an x-ray, he noted sever-
al bubbles around the egg white in the glass: a
sign that someone close to me was jealous and
wished me ill. Then he offered, for an extra fee,
to protect me from future harm. I declined; we
shook hands. I left feeling a sense of anticlimax,
as if I had somehow missed something. Where
was the theater?
It was only when I was back on the street that
I began to understand. Twenty years ago you
could still find “authentic” dancing, spitting
witch doctors in Catemaco (and they still show
up for tourists and festivals). But expectation is
a moving target. Over the past generation, con-
ventional medicine has become the norm in
Catemaco. Spitting and waving chicken feath-
ers inspired confidence before, but most brujos
today have adapted to the times, mixing white
lab coats and antiseptic spray with their mysti-
cism to tap into their modern patients’ expecta-
tions: the theater of medicine. My brujo made
eye contact and smiled warmly, like a skillful,
caring medical doctor.
And I have to say, I did feel a little better.
SO HOW DOES THE THEATER Of medicine actu-
ally work? How does a belief literally heal?
One part of the puzzle involves conditioning,
as Jensen has shown. Recall Pavlov’s dog, which
drooled every time it heard a bell. That hap-
pened because Pavlov conditioned the animal
to connect food with the sound. Scientists have
been able to train the immune systems of rats by
pairing sweet liquids with cyclosporine A, a drug
that blocks the function of immune cells to keep
patients from rejecting transplanted organs. Ev-
ery time the rat has a sweet drink, it also gets the
drug. But after enough trials, the drug is unnec-
essary: The sweet drink alone is enough to shut
down the rat’s immune response.
The placebo effect’s conditioned response in
reaction to pain is to release brain chemicals—
endorphins, or opium-like painkillers—synthe-
sized in the body. In the 1970s two San Francisco
neuroscientists interested in how those internal
opioids control pain made a discovery during an
experiment with patients who had just had their
wisdom teeth pulled.
The researchers first compared the response
of a placebo group to the response of another
group that received naloxone, a drug that can-
cels out the ameliorating effect of opioids. None
of the subjects received or expected to receive
morphine—and all of them felt miserable. Then
the scientists redesigned the experiment, telling
the patients that some of them would receive
morphine, some a placebo, and some naloxone.
No one, including the researchers, knew who
would receive what. This time, some of the pa-
tients felt better, even though they didn’t receive
morphine. Their expectation of potential relief
triggered the release of endorphins in their bod-
ies, and those endorphins reduced the pain. But
as soon as they got naloxone, they were in pain
again. The drug wiped out the action of the en-
dorphins that the placebo response had released.
“Without the expectation of pain relief, you
can’t have a placebo effect,” says Howard Fields,
MIND OVER MATTER 49
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ro MV Elev rlaremn=s-lidianle)e>- lp cele) ial=\ecMare\W ome lalere\Vclgcte
another trigger of the mysterious effect: how we
think others experience pain. In this experiment,
10] 0) (=Yo1 KM (=1g >more) ple lis(e)ar=vommon ol) ger-)\V(-M-Malcr- 1s
stimulus as stronger when it was paired with an
image of a face showing distress, even when the
stimulus was moderate. An fMRI machine captures
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We don’t imagine we’re not
in pain. We self-medicate,
literally, by expecting
the relief we’ve been
conditioned to receive.
an emeritus professor at the University of Cali-
fornia, San Francisco and one of the authors of
the study.
Since that experiment, conditioning has been
used to study the effects of belief on the release
of other drugs produced by the body, including
serotonin, dopamine, and some cannabinoids,
which can work in a way similar to the psycho-
active ingredient in marijuana. But it wasn’t
until the early 2000s that scientists could watch
how these effects play out in the brain. Tor Wa-
ger, then a Ph.D. student at the University of
Michigan, put subjects in a brain scanner. He
applied cream to both of each subject’s wrists,
then strapped on electrodes that could deliver
painful shocks or heat. He told the subjects that
one of the creams could ameliorate pain, but the
creams, in fact, were the same, and neither had
any inherent pain-reducing qualities. After sev-
eral rounds of conditioning, the subjects learned
to feel less pain on the wrist coated with the “pain
relieving” cream; on the last run, strong shocks
felt no worse than a light pinch. A typical condi-
tioned placebo response.
The most interesting part was what the brain
scans showed. Normal pain sensations begin at
an injury and travel in a split second up through
the spine to a network of brain areas that recog-
nize the sensation as pain. A placebo response
travels in the opposite direction, beginning inthe
brain. An expectation of healing in the prefrontal
cortex sends signals to parts of the brain stem,
which creates opioids and releases them down
to the spinal cord. We don’t imagine we're not in
pain. We self-medicate, literally, by expecting the
relief we’ve been conditioned to receive.
“The right belief and the right experience work
54 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
together,” says Wager, now a professor at the Uni-
versity of Colorado Boulder and director of a neu-
roscience lab there. “And that’s the recipe.”
The recipe of belief and experience is finding
its way out of the lab and into clinical practice as
well. Christopher Spevak is a pain and addiction
doctor at the Walter Reed National Military Med-
ical Center in Bethesda, Maryland. Every day he
sees active service members and veterans with
severe injuries, sometimes just days or weeks af-
ter they have left the battlefield. This offers him
an opportunity to use expectation and condition-
ing to tap into internal opioids to stave off, or at
least mitigate, long-term pain.
When Spevak first meets patients, he doesn’t
ask about their injuries or their medical
histories—he has all that on file. Instead he asks
them about themselves. He might learn that in
childhood a person had a favorite eucalyptus tree
outside his house or loved peppermint candies.
Eventually, if Spevak prescribes opioid painkill-
ers, every time the patient takes one, he also has
eucalyptus oil to smell or a peppermint to eat—
whatever stimulus Spevak knows will resonate.
Over time, just as with Jensen’s quick-flash faces
or Wager’s skin cream (or for that matter, Pav-
lov’s bell), patients start linking the sensory ex-
perience to the drugs. After a while, Spevak cuts
down on the drug and just provides the sounds or
smells. The patient’s brain can go to an internal
pharmacy for the needed drugs.
“We have triple amputees, quadruple ampu-
tees, who are on no opioids,” Spevak says of his
Iraq and Afghanistan veteran patients. “Yet we
have older Vietnam vets who’ve been on high
doses of morphine for low back pain for the past
30 years.”
TWO YEARS AGO Leonie Koban, a member of
Tor Wager’s lab, spearheaded a novel placebo
study. The scientists were well aware of the roles
of conditioning and theater in channeling expec-
tations. They wanted to test the effect of a third
element influencing experiences of pain: other
believers.
As in many previous tests of the placebo
effect, the researchers delivered a burning
sensation to their subjects’ arms and asked the
subjects to rate how strong it was. But this time
they introduced an extra variable. The volun-
teers looked at a screen and saw a Series of hash
marks representing how previous participants
had rated their pain. For the same stimulus, the
subjects reported feeling higher or lower levels
of pain based on what they were told previous
participants had felt.
The result was not surprising. In the 1950s,
a series of tests called the Asch experiments
showed that subjects can give answers they
know to be wrong in order to conform with the
group. What shocked Koban and Wager was the
Sheer strength of the social influence: The effect
was larger than might be expected after condi-
tioning. Tests of the subjects’ skin conductance
responses—involuntary changes in how the
body is conducting electricity, often used in lie
detection—showed that they were not just re-
porting what they thought the researchers want-
ed to hear; they were actually responding less to
pain. Studies with fMRI machines implicated a
separate, complementary network of brain ac-
tivity that kicks in when conventional placebos
are enhanced by peer pressure. Koban goes so far
as to say that social information might be more
powerful in altering the experience of pain than
both conditioning and subconscious cues.
“Information we take from our social relation-
ships has really profound influences, [not only]
on emotional experiences but also on health-
related outcomes such as pain and healing,”
Koban says. “And we are only beginning to un-
derstand these influences and how we can har-
ness them.”
The impact of the social group could help ex-
plain why religion might in a very literal sense
be what Karl Marx defined as “the opium of the
people”: It can tap into the ability to access our
own store of beliefs and expectations, especially
when we're surrounded by other believers who
are doing the same.
NOWHERE IS the power of group belief more
evident than in religious pilgrimages—whether
it’s the annual Catholic trek to Lourdes, in
France, the annual hajj pilgrimage of Muslims
to Mecca, in Saudi Arabia, or, largest of all, the
Maha Kumbh Mela, occurring every 12 years.
The latest Kumbh Mela, in February 2013, drew
an estimated 70 million Hindus to the Indian
city of Allahabad.
Or the pilgrimage to Altotting where I met
Richard Modl. The first documented healing in
Altotting was in 1489, when a drowned boy was
said to have been miraculously brought back
to life. Today the Black Madonna there attracts
about a million visitors a year.
The pilgrims I joined on a cold Bavarian
morning in 2016 had already been walking since
3 a.m. After pausing for breakfast, everyone was
chatting happily, waiting for the signal to begin
walking again, in the rain. I had been nervous
about the trip because of ankle surgery I’d had
three months before. But in that merry throng
of believers, my pain faded away.
“Everyone is here for their own reasons, but
they are all here for each other just as much,” said
Marcus Brunner, a cheery priest and 27-year vet-
eran of the walk. “The group carries you, and you
carry the group all together.”
When we arrived in the Chapel of Grace, we
found it covered inside and out with ex-votos—
pictures representing miracles spanning hun-
dreds of years and showing every imaginable
ailment. Propped against the walls were crutches
and canes left behind through the ages by parish-
ioners and pilgrims whose suffering was relieved
by the Black Madonna. The expectation of heal-
ing continues unabated.
“There is a different way of thinking here,”
said Thomas Zauner, a psychotherapist and
deacon who had moved to Altotting in order to
seek a Supportive community for his develop-
mentally disabled child. “Prayer seems to actu-
ally work.” O
Photographer Erika Larsen contribut-
ed to this year’s special issue on
Yellowstone. Some material in this
story appears in a different form in
Erik Vance’s Suggestible You, pub-
lished by National Geographic Books.
MARK THIESSEN,
NGM STAFF
MIND OVER MATTER 55
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By Mel White
Photographs by Tim Laman
‘Sometimes I feel like P’ve
chosen the most difficult
thing in the world to study,
Cheryl Knott tells me as we sit beneath the rain
forest canopy at her orangutan research station
in western Borneo. The high-pitched, dental-
drill sound of cicadas fills the air, at times forcing
us to pause our conversation. As we talk, Knott’s
associates are at work in the surrounding forest
of Indonesia’s Gunung Palung National Park
with GPS units and iPads, following orangutans
in their daily wanderings, recording what they’re
doing, what they’re eating, and how they’re in-
teracting with others of their species.
Unlike gorillas and chimpanzees—fellow great
apes that live in groups and can be followed and
observed relatively easily—orangutans live most-
ly solitary lives. They spend nearly all their time
in the treetops, they wander widely, and for the
most part they inhabit rugged forest or swampy
lowland that’s hard for humans to traverse. As
a result, orangutans long remained among the
least known of Earth’s large land animals. Only
during the past 20 years or so has scientific evi-
dence begun to outweigh speculation as a new
generation of researchers has tracked the elusive
apes across the islands of Borneo and Sumatra,
the only places orangutans live.
For more than two decades Knott has super-
vised the research at Gunung Palung, looking at
many aspects of orangutan life history but fo-
cusing especially on the way the availability of
food affects female hormones and reproduction.
“At the time we started here, no one had really
62 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
worked on hormones in wild apes,” she says.
“People said I was crazy.”
Knott’s studies have special significance be-
cause female orangutans give birth only every six
to nine years. No other mammal has a longer in-
terval between births. And there’s no telling what
her research might mean for our knowledge of
human fertility; we and orangutans are so similar
that Knott can use standard drugstore test kits
on urine from female orangutans to determine
whether they’re pregnant.
Typical of many forests in southeastern Asia,
the trees at Gunung Palung produce little or no
fruit in most seasons. Then, every four years or
so, trees of various species simultaneously bring
forth massive amounts of fruit in a process called
masting. The phenomenon led Knott to wonder
about the connection between food abundance
and orangutan reproduction.
Knott discovered that researchers could col-
lect and preserve urine from female orangutans
on filter paper so that the samples could be tested
for hormones later. Her work has shown that re-
productive hormones in female orangutans peak
when fruit is most abundant in the forest—an
adaptation to the boom-and-bust environment.
The expressive, heart-
melting faces of baby
orangutans make them
highly valuable in the
black-market pet trade.
“It makes a lot of sense,” Knott says. “They’re
putting on weight during these high-fruit peri-
ods, and then they live off that during the low-
fruit periods. During these high-fruit periods,
females are more likely to conceive.”
IT’S AN EXCITING TIME for Knott and other
orangutan researchers, as advances in technol-
ogy (including the possibility of using drones to
find and follow orangutans in rugged terrain)
mean that the pace of discovery, already far more
rapid than it was just two decades ago, will al-
most certainly increase. This assumes, of course,
that there will still be orangutans left to study in
the forests of Borneo and Sumatra.
In the 1980s and ’90s, some conservationists
predicted that orangutans would go extinct in
the wild within 20 or 30 years. Fortunately that
didn’t happen. Many thousands more orangutans
are now known to exist than were recognized at
the turn of the millennium.
This doesn’t mean that all is well in the orang-
utans’ world. The higher figures come thanks to
improved survey methods and the discovery of
previously unknown populations, not because
the actual numbers have increased. In fact, the
overall population of orangutans has fallen by at
least 80 percent in the past 75 years. It’s indica-
tive of the difficulty of orangutan research that
scientist Erik Meijaard, who has long studied the
species’ population trends, is willing to say only
that between 40,000 and 100,000 live on Borneo.
Conservationists on Sumatra estimate that only
14,000 survive there. Much of this loss has been
™ Society Grant Your membership helped support
the fieldwork and research behind this story.
64 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
driven by habitat destruction from logging and
the rapid spread of vast plantations of oil palm,
the fruit of which is sold to make oil used in cook-
ing and in many food products.
There’s another factor at work as well. A 2013
report by several top researchers said that as
many as 65,000 of the apes may have been killed
on Borneo alone in recent decades. Some were
killed for bush meat by people struggling to sur-
vive. Others were shot because they were raiding
crops—or protecting their young. The expressive,
heart-melting faces of baby orangutans make
them highly valuable in the black-market pet
trade, within Indonesia as well as smuggled out
of Borneo or Sumatra to foreign destinations. The
ferocious protectiveness of female orangutans
means that the easiest way to obtain a baby is to
kill the mother—a compounded tragedy that not
only removes two animals from the wild but also
eliminates the additional offspring the female
would produce during her lifetime.
At rehabilitation centers such as Interna-
tional Animal Rescue near Gunung Palung, the
steady influx of orphaned orangutans shows
that this killing remains a serious problem. More
than a thousand orangutans now live at rehab
sites, and though the goal is to release as many
as possible back into the forest, attempting to
teach survival skills to young orangutans is chal-
lenging and unproven.
Threats to orangutans come as the recent
boom in research is revealing a surprising range
in their genetic makeup, physical structure, and
behavior—including the beginnings of cultural
development that could help us understand how
we transitioned from ape to human.
For centuries, scientists considered all orang-
utans to belong to one species, but in the past
Rows of oil palms replace rain forest near Borneo’s
Gunung Palung National Park. Vast expanses of
orangutan habitat have been lost to palm oil, used
for cooking, food products, and cosmetics.
COMPOSITE OF THREE IMAGES
two decades new insights have led researchers
to see Bornean and Sumatran orangutans as dis-
tinct species, both of which are critically endan-
gered. Surprisingly, researchers have found that
a recently discovered population at a site called
Batang Toru in western Sumatra is actually closer
genetically to Bornean orangutans than to other
Sumatran populations—possibly the result of
differing waves of migration to the islands from
mainland Asia.
The Batang Toru orangutans are believed by
some researchers to diverge from others enough
to constitute a third species. Numbering as few
OUT ON A LIMB 65
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® Sumatra ™@ Borneo
@) Behavior observed at all sites Jakarta * |
J ree a
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Amon the Orangutans learn most of the behaviors illustrated
+ - here from their mothers before reaching adoles-
cence around age 12. Some of the behaviors are
Or ahh ans ubiquitous. Others occur only in certain areas,
suggesting there could be regional cultures.
Male with
| _ facial flange
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WIPING @)|
Orangutans have
been observed wiping
their chins, eyes, and
bodies with leaves.
Sometimes this is to
remove sticky residue
left by food, but often
the purpose is unclear.
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' TERMITE FEEDING (
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mites, from nests on the
ground or in the forest
canopy, by tapping the
misests into their hands
or as them out.
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keg A ip ie 4 oF
NESTBUILDING ¢
Each day the apes
make fresh nests for
sleep or day rest by
breaking and weaving
together branches to
build a sturdy structure.
SNAG CRASHING @)
Male orangutans
push tree snags
over to make noise
as part of a display of
dominant behavior.
Variation ©
Some ride the snag as
it falls, grabbing onto
vegetation before the
snag hits the ground.
- Variation @ @-all sites
Some use leaves as
pillows, linings, covers,
and possibly even
mosquito repellent.
Juvenile
“KISS SQUEAKING?” @)
Orangutans make a
sound known as a kiss
squeak to threaten other =~
orangutans andhumans.
UMBRELLA MAKING @)
Orangutans make umbrel-
las to shelter from the rain,
holding leaves over their
heads and sometimes
their backs.
Variation 9OO«
Some kiss-squeak into
a handful of leaves, then
toss them on the ground.
(Oo Sa
in the rain for
| (UF haemo i 4 |
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FERNANDO G. BAPTISTA, MATTHEW W. CHWASTYK, ‘St ea | = Yao ‘( Se y
AND RYAN WILLIAMS, NGM STAFF; MANYUN ZOU. . 1 : | \ 008 > cf
SOURCES: TIM LAMAN; CHERYL D. KNOTT, BOSTON AP WE AN, REWARDS), a\ |
UNIVERSITY; CAREL P. VAN SCHAIK, UNIVERSITY OF ‘ ie e sticks to extract ‘b
ZURICH; SERGE WICH, LIVERPOOL JOHN MOORES
UNIVERSITY; MEREDITH BASTIAN, SMITHSONIAN
NATIONAL ZOO
My, the seeds and avoid the _
_ ~~ fiberglass-like hairs. .
» ~* PS
-
AMirel(=m axe) gatst-1 a ngutan uses a leafy branch
as a makeshift umbrella. Thi learned leX=var-\Ulele
is an example of orangutan “culture” passed
one generation to the next.
*
Preserving old-growth
rain forest is crucial,
but the human-altered
landscape is also vital
to orangutan survival.
as 400 individuals, they’re threatened by a pro-
posed hydropower project that would fragment
their habitat and open the area to more human
intrusion, including illegal hunting.
What’s more, several populations on Borneo
are now deemed to be separate subspecies, based
on factors such as differing body types, vocaliza-
tions, and adaptations to the environment. The
diversity of orangutans extends even further—
into differences whose origins continue to resist
scientific understanding.
FROM HIS PERCH high in the rain forest canopy
of Sumatra, a big male orangutan known as Sito-
gos jumps to the trunk of a dead tree and, using
all his 200 pounds, rocks it back and forth until
it snaps at the base. At the last moment Sitogos
leaps to a nearby limb, while the tree falls toward
me with an enormous crash.
Orangutans do this a lot when they’re mad,
and they’re very good at it. The tree couldn’t have
been aimed any more accurately if it had been
laser guided.
Sitogos means “the strong one” in the Batak
language of northwestern Sumatra. True to his
name, the big male stares down at me, shakes the
branch he’s holding, and gives a guttural, bub-
bling call. There may be Sumatran tigers and sun
bears roaming the forest floor, he seems to say,
but up here in the treetops, I’m the king.
Stretching his arms to their full span of seven
feet, Sitogos moves through the canopy by us-
ing his long-fingered hands and dexterous feet
to clamber from branch to branch. A young fe-
male, Tiur (“optimistic”), follows his every move,
approaching closely whenever he pauses. Much
smaller and more delicately built, she persists in
70 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC * DECEMBER 2016
her pursuit even though he seems indifferent.
They sprawl on a branch together, eating flowers
and breaking off cuplike fern fronds to drink the
water inside. When he leans forward against a
limb, Tiur grooms his back.
Sometime in the recent past, Sitogos had un-
dergone an astounding transformation. He’d
spent years hardly larger than Tiur. Then, with
testosterone flooding his body, he’d grown pow-
erful muscles, longer hair, fleshy pads called
flanges on the sides of his face, and a massive
throat sac to amplify his calls.
The sybaritic scene in the forest canopy—the
devoted attention of Tiur and access to her and
other females for mating—is Sitogos’s reward,
but his physical change has a price too. From
somewhere in the distance comes the call of an-
other male orangutan. Sitogos stands up, trans-
fixed, and begins moving toward his challenger.
The males of many species of animals undergo
major physical changes as they mature, but for
orangutans the process is especially intriguing.
Not all males develop the massive bodies, facial
flanges, and throat sacs shown by Sitogos. Many
retain smaller bodies long after they reach sexual
maturity, transforming years later than other in-
dividuals. Some remain undeveloped their entire
lives. The mechanism behind this divergence,
called bimaturism, ranks among the greatest
mysteries of zoology.
In the forests of northern Sumatra, only one
dominant flanged male maintains control over
a local group of females. Many males in the area
retain smaller bodies and don’t develop flanges,
thereby avoiding the confrontations that in-
evitably occur when several males try to assert
dominance (until they themselves can try to
move into the dominant role). For the smaller
males, the only chance to pass on their genes is
to watch from the sidelines, out of reach of the
boss, sneaking in for mating whenever possible.
In Borneo, by contrast, nearly all males devel-
op flanges. They wander across large areas, with
no one male maintaining an associated group
of females. A male’s best chance at mating is to
grow strong and join the competition, leading to
more confrontations and injuries.
On atrail not far from Knott’s research station,
I see evidence of these conflicts. A male orang-
utan named Prabu sits high in the branches of
a Strangler fig, occasionally peering down to re-
veal a fresh puncture wound on his forehead and
a lower lip missing a chunk of flesh. Obviously
Prabu had been in a fight, but was he the winner
or the loser?
As I watch, he rises up and gives the loud se-
ries of sounds Known as a long call: a complicat-
ed and thrilling medley of deep rumblings and
bubbling hoots that can carry a mile through
the forest. Usually males’ long calls last less
than a minute, but Prabu’s continues for more
than five minutes. Bloody but defiant, Prabu still
proclaims his power to rival males and potential
female mates alike.
SOME SCIENTISTS BELIEVE the dichotomy be-
tween male orangutans arose in part because of
the differing geologic histories of Sumatra and
Borneo. Sumatra is more fertile than Borneo,
where ancient, weathered soil lacks plant nutri-
ents, and many forests see the boom-and-bust
cycles of masting fruit trees, leading to periods
of low food availability. Orangutans on Sumatra
don’t have to travel far to find enough food, and
female density is higher. This gives males the
ability to remain in a single place and develop
associations. The relatively poorer environment
of Borneo has created a free-for-all in which in-
dividuals roam over large areas, finding food and
mating opportunities where they can.
This may explain why the development of
dominant male characteristics differs between
the islands. But it brings up a far more difficult
question.
“How does a Sumatran male Know that if he
grows flanges and he’s not the boss, he’s not go-
ing to be successful at mating?” Carel van Schaik
asks as we talk in his office in Switzerland, at
the University of Zurich, where he and his col-
leagues have published dozens of scientific pa-
pers on orangutan research from both Sumatra
and Borneo.
The answer to van Schaik’s question, of course,
is that the male doesn’t “know,” in the human
sense. “It’s not something they can learn,” van
Schaik says. “There has to be a switch, the sensi-
tivity of the switch has to be different for different
populations, and it has to be somehow genetic.”
This question of how male development is
triggered remains unanswered, in part because
of the same challenge that faces orangutan re-
searchers on so many fronts: Their subjects are
just so difficult to study.
In addition to their physiological diversity,
orangutans exhibit differences in behavior that
are passed from individual to individual and gen-
eration to generation in ways that can legitimate-
ly be called cultural.
“At one of our sites we’ve heard a call used by
mothers when they reassure their kid,” Maria van
Noordwijk, a member of the Zurich team who
studies primate maternal care, told me. “We call
it the throat scrape. We had a female that we knew
pretty well before she gave birth for the first time.
The day after giving birth she already gave that
call. It had never been heard before from her. It’s
clearly something she learned from her mom.”
“Primates aren’t supposed to do vocal learn-
ing,” says Carel van Schaik. “And yet, unless you
believe this is genetic, which we think we can re-
ject, then it’s very likely that it’s cultural. What
orangutans do isn’t like the human voice, but
the comprehension and learning and imitating
of sounds is there.”
RESEARCHERS SEE MORE than just animals’
behavior when they watch orangutans. After all,
these scientists (and you and I) took only a slight-
ly divergent route on the great-ape evolutionary
highway than did their arboreal subjects. Behind
the field notes and data points is the question of
what orangutans can tell us about humans.
Unlocking all the secrets contained in the
brains and bodies of these great-ape relatives
means preserving the entire spectrum of adap-
tations. “If every group is unique, it’s not good
enough to say we'll protect them at just a few
spots,” Knott says. The loss of any single popula-
tion brings an end to any chance to learn from its
unique environmental and cultural adaptations.
I spent time in the field with Marc Ancrenaz,
OUT ONA LIMB 71
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Fires set to clear forest for oil palm and other crops burned more than six million
acres in Indonesia in 2015. Unequipped to survive in the wild after years as a pet,
this male orangutan will spend his life at a rescue center.
who since 1996 has directed an orangutan research
and conservation project on the Kinabatangan
River, in the Sabah region of northeastern Borneo.
Here several hundred orangutans live in a nar-
row corridor of degraded habitat along the river,
among villages that themselves are surrounded
by asea of oil palm. The patchy woodland is noth-
ing like the “virgin rain forest” usually associated
with orangutans.
“Of course we would prefer primary forest, but
this is what we have,” Ancrenaz says, as we take
Shelter from a storm in a hut at his study site.
Outside, the muddy ground is dotted with the
circular footprints of Borneo pygmy elephants.
“Twenty years ago science thought orangutans
couldn’t survive outside primary forest. We were
very surprised here. How come orangutans are
in a place where they are not supposed to be?”
Ancrenaz is among several researchers who
74 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC * DECEMBER 2016
see the human-altered landscape as vital to
orangutans’ survival. “I think this is the future of
biodiversity,” he says.
In western Borneo, Knott has set up an organi-
zation to work with local communities to develop
sustainable alternative livelihoods, reduce ille-
gal logging and poaching, and provide conser-
vation education in areas surrounding Gunung
Palung National Park. In the same spirit, An-
crenaz has established conservation education
programs in Sabah schools and communities,
trying to find ways that people and nature can
coexist. He partners with people living along the
Kinabatangan, helping them make money from
orangutans and other wildlife through ecotourism
and related enterprises. His hope is that residents
will become invested in the survival of animals.
“Remote villages are the front line for wildlife con-
servation,” he says. “If we don’t incorporate local
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people into our plans, I think we’re going to fail.”
For orangutans to survive in their present di-
versity, governments and conservationists must
make smart choices about where to establish
preserves, how to manage them, and how to use
limited resources. They must find ways for the
species to coexist with humans on two islands
where habitat is constantly shrinking.
“IT see a lot of people trying to do conservation
with their heart, with their feelings, which is
fine,” Ancrenaz says. “But conservation has to be
backed up with strong science. The goal of people
doing research is to produce better Knowledge,
better understanding of orangutan ecology and
genetics. The rest is actually using this knowl-
edge to impact land use and communities. This
is where conservation takes place.”
In the forests of Borneo and Sumatra, orang-
utan behavior determined by millions of years
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of evolution endures: Males challenge each oth-
er with their calls, young males wait for their
chances to assert dominance, and females teach
their young how to survive in the treetops. Some
of the mysteries of their lives have been revealed.
What else we learn will depend on the success of
this teaming of science and conservation, seek-
ing answers about the links between humans and
these apes that seem so like us when we look into
their eyes.
“AS a scientist you’re supposed to be objec-
tive,” Knott says, as we talk at her camp deep in
the Borneo rain forest. “But you’re also human,
and that connection is why I’m here.” U
Photographer Tim Laman and anthropologist
Cheryl Knott, a husband-and-wife team, have been
documenting the private lives of orangutans since
1992. “Every year brings new surprises,” says Knott.
OUT ON A LIMB 75
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By Julia Ioffe
Photographs by Gerd Ludwig
e doesn’t know where to take me
when I meet him at the hotel by
the train station, so we just start
to walk down the dusty summer
streets of Nizhniy Tagil, a sput-
tering industrial city on the eastern slope of the
Ural Mountains. His name is Sasha Makarevich,
a 24-year-old cement worker, a blond ponytail
falling down his back, a Confederate flag stitched
onto his cutoff denim vest. “I thought it just meant
independence,” he explains when I ask about it.
We walk past a small, one-story cube of a build-
ing covered with images of red Soviet stars and
the orange-and-black St. George’s ribbon that
holds imperial, Soviet, and Russian military med-
als. “We could go in here,” Sasha shrugs. “But it’s
full of people who survived the Nineties.”
Sasha survived the Nineties too. In December
1991, just months before he was born, the Soviet
flag came down over the Kremlin and the Rus-
sian tricolor went up, ushering in the decade
that hangs like a bad omen in the contemporary
Russian psyche. The expectation that Russians
would start living like their prosperous West-
ern counterparts gave way to a painful reality: It
would be a hard slog to turn a command econo-
my into a market one, to make a democracy out
of asociety that had lived under absolute monar-
chy and totalitarianism for centuries.
I never got to see those Nineties. My family left
Moscow in April 1990. When I first returned, in
2002, the era of President Vladimir Putin, the an-
tidote to the turbulent Nineties, was in full swing.
Since then I’ve been back to Russia many times
82 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
and lived there for several years as a reporter.
Most of the Russians I Know have, to some
extent, been shaped by the 74-year Soviet ex-
periment. We know in a deep, personal way our
families’ small histories and tragedies within the
larger tragedy of that history. But this generation
coming up Knows only a Russia traumatized by
the Nineties and then tightly ruled by Putin. This
year—25 years after the Soviet Union’s collapse—I
went back again, to meet these young people like
Sasha. Who are they? What do they want from
their lives? What do they want for Russia?
INSIDE THE WINDOWLESS BAR, all linoleum
and fake-wood paneling, Sasha and I get some
thin beer in thin plastic cups and find a seat
L “? Nd
An energetic 27-year-old entrepreneur, Radik Minnakhmetov straightens Putin's official portrait, prominently
displayed in his office next to one of the president of Tatarstan, a Russian republic about 450 miles east of
Moscow. At 24, Minnakhmetov became the head of a new futuristic stadium in Kazan, Tatarstan’s capital.
among the heavily tattooed, red-faced men in
tracksuits and sandals, blasting reedy Russian
pop from their phones.
Nizhniy Tagil, Sasha says, “is all factories and
prison camps.” Once famous for manufacturing
the Soviet Union’s train cars and tanks, it’s now
famous for its idled factories, unemployment,
and Vladimir Putin. When Putin announced, in
2011, his intention to return for a third presiden-
tial term, protests broke out in Moscow and other
large cities. The protesters were largely from the
young, educated, urban middle class, and that
winter a factory worker from Nizhniy Tagil told
Putin on national TV that he and “the boys” were
ready to come to Moscow to beat up the protest-
ers. Putin demurred, but the city has come to be
seen as the very heart of Putinland.
Now Nizhniy Tagil has a new mayor, whom
Putin sent in to beautify the city, and a local mag-
nate has built a fancy health care clinic, but life is
still tough here. Sasha went to school for welding
and worked in a factory making good money un-
til crashing oil prices and Western sanctions for
the invasion of Ukraine sank the economy. Sasha
THE PUTIN GENERATION 83
stopped getting paid. He spent a year looking for
work before he landed a job in a Boeing factory
two hours away. Now he makes 30,000 rubles, or
$450, a month—about the local average.
I meet Sasha after a long workday, and he is
tired, his hands dirty. He doesn’t feel totally com-
fortable—or safe—in this bar with the survivors
of the Nineties. The city he describes is a violently
conformist place. “People here are very aggressive
toward anyone who doesn’t look like them,” he
says. It’s a local, working-class uniform: tracksuit,
buzz cut with a hint of bangs. His peers, Sasha
says, are often children of ex-cons. “They don’t
respect the law,” Sasha says. “‘A real man is either
in the army or in jail.’ My sixth-grade teacher told
us that.” So Sasha learned to fight, with fists, with
Knives. Once he walked home after a fight cov-
ered in someone else’s blood, and he is strangely,
beatifically cheerful as he tells me all this.
What Sasha really wants to do is escape to cos-
mopolitan St. Petersburg and open a bar. He’s
been there a couple times; it’s where he feels most
at home. But his girlfriend won’t move unless he
buys an apartment there. Between his salary and
hers, his dream will likely remain just that.
It isa common refrain in Nizhniy Tagil: young
people with young-people dreams, locked out of
them by the reality of Putin’s Russia. They want
to travel, but their salaries are in rubles, the value
of which has been halved by the economic cri-
sis. Some want to open their own businesses but
don’t know how to scale the dangerous slopes of
local corruption. So they train their sights low-
er. They want a house or apartment, a car, anda
family. The things they crave are also the things
that many of them didn’t have precisely because
their families survived the Nineties.
“The Nineties were very hard for us financial-
ly,” Alexander Kuznetsov, a 20-year-old from
Nizhniy Tagil, tells me. “In 1998 my dad left the
family.” Alexander was three. “My mom’s entire
salary went to feed me. I didn’t have many toys,”
he says. “I’m alone in the family.” That left its
mark. “For me the most important thing is fami-
ly,” Alexander tells me as we sip coffee in a café off
the main square. “I don’t want to strive for high
professional posts and have an empty home.”
84 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC * DECEMBER 2016
His father fought in the first Chechen war, in
1994. “Don’tjoin the army, son,” he advised Alexan-
der. That was the sum total of his father’s recollec-
tions of the Nineties. But Alexander isn’t bothering
to find a way out of the universal draft. “I always
wanted to join,” he explains. “Everyone in my
family was in the military. My great-grandfather
fought in World War II.” Plus, military service
opens up some of the more lucrative job prospects
for a young man in Russia: work in the police or
the Federal Security Service, or FSB, the successor
to the KGB. The army would give him a shot at
being acop like his father. “I really want to havea
stable income,” Alexander says.
As Alexander and I talk, his friend Stepan, a
strapping, smiling young man with a blond buzz
cut, bounces in to join us. “So,” he says, flashing
me a mischievous grin, “you’re writing about
what it was like in the Soviet Union? People lived
a lot better then.”
“What!” exclaims Alexander. “Lived better?!
No, we didn’t!”
They argue about what it was like to live in
Soviet times, until Stepan, who was born in 1992,
realizes he has a question for me: “You Americans
are pressuring us, slapping us with sanctions,”
he says. “What are you preparing for us? A war?”
He explains why it was right for Russia to annex
Crimea and for Putin to stand up to the West.
Stepan is reluctant to tell me his last name
because I’m an American journalist, but when
it’s time for me to go, he offers me a ride. “Real-
ly, though,” he says to no one in particular as we
wheel through the city, “I want to get out of here.”
Out of where? I ask. Nizhniy Tagil?
“No,” he says. “Russia.”
After his patriotic bluster, this was unexpect-
ed. Why? I ask him.
“There’s nothing to do here,” he says without
any bitterness. “No opportunities, no way to grow
and develop and make something of yourself.”
What’s your backup plan? I ask.
“What’s my backup plan?” he repeats, smiling
broadly. “Join the FSB.”
“THOSE WHO WERE BORN in the U.S.S.R. and
those born after its collapse do not share acommon
experience,’ wrote Svetlana Alexievich, who won
the Nobel Prize in literature in 2015. “It’s like
they’re from different planets.”
The Soviet Union drowned in a surge of opti-
mism. Many believed Russia would quickly be-
come a flourishing, Western-style democracy.
But the optimism of 1991 dissipated in a decade of
often depressing contradictions. With the end of
the planned economy came untold riches or entry
into anew middle class for some; for others it was
asudden plunge into poverty. Previously unavail-
able goods flooded store shelves, while the money
to buy them periodically lost
its value. Crime, especially in
commerce, skyrocketed. Pol-
itics came out into the open,
but many Russians came to see
it as a dirty business.
Russians struggled to adjust
to this foreign reality. It was a
time of unprecedented free-
dom, but many found it deep-
ly disorienting. “When these
[Western] values encountered
reality and people saw that
changes came too slowly, these
values receded into the background,” says Natal-
ia Zorkaya, a sociologist with the Levada Center,
an independent polling organization in Moscow.
Instead, she says, the younger generations are
adopting “the pillars of Soviet society.”
Sasha, Alexander, Stepan, and their cohort
do live on a planet different from the one their
parents and grandparents live on, yet they are
in some ways becoming even more Soviet. It’s
a strange thing: These young men and women
know little of the privations, habits, and cruelty
of Soviet life. The Putin generation doesn’t carry
this wound. Their desire for staid normalcy—
intact families, reliable, if unsatisfying, jobs—is
their response to what they lacked in the Nineties
and found in the Putin era.
Yet they are profoundly insecure. Sixty-five per-
cent of Russians between ages 18 and 24—that is,
the first generation born after the Soviet breakup—
plan their lives no more than a year or two ahead,
according to the Levada Center. “It’s a very
egotistical generation,” Zorkaya says, but adds,
“It’s a very fragile generation.” They are also po-
litically inert: Most don’t know about news events
the state doesn’t want them to know about, and
83 percent say they have not participated in any
kind of political or civil society activity.
LIZA MEETS ME IN THE GLITTERING white
lobby of one of the many glass towers—some
blue spirals, some coppery shards—that make up
Moscow City, a financial center that looks like a
cross between London and Shanghai. I follow her
The Putin generation wants
intact families and reliable,
if unsatisfying, jobs. It
associates the Soviet Union
with longed-for stability.
through tunnels linking the towers underground
with cafés, shops, and an exhibit with paintings of
Putin and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
We order lunch, and Liza, a stylish young woman
with long, curled blond hair, dimples, and an ex-
pensive watch, tells me her story as she slurps her
borscht. She asks me not to use her last name be-
cause she doesn’t want to upset her parents.
She was born in Blagoveshchensk, in the Rus-
sian Far East, in 1992. A year before, her father,
a history teacher, had been out in the streets of
Moscow, cheering the arrival of democracy. But
on returning home after the Soviet Union’s de-
mise, he was forced to find other ways to support
the family. He began crossing the border into
China and carrying back anything from clothes to
appliances for resale in Russia. “I remember him
coming home with money sewn into his shirt so
that he wouldn't get robbed,” Liza tells me.
She’s a corporate lawyer at a large Western
firm. It’s fine, but it’s not what she wanted to do.
THE PUTIN GENERATION 85
Popularity, Putin Style
Vladimir Putin is widely viewed at home as the man who tamed a tumultuous post-
Soviet Russia and the first leader in decades willing to stand up to the West. His strong
personality, combined with near-total control over the Russian media, has helped
him Keep his standing, especially among the young. If reelected in 2018, he'll be
Russia’s second longest serving leader, trailing only Joseph Stalin’s 30-year reign.
Standard of Living
Makes Gains
Putin benefited from tough
economic reforms adopted by
Boris Yeltsin and his predeces-
sor, Mikhail Gorbachev, as well as
from increased oil revenue as
prices rose beginning in 2003.
Gross domestic product (GDP)
per person has grown 70 percent
under Putin, compared with 17
percent in the European Union.
Stability Returns
to the Job Market
Soviet leaders claimed that
they had “liquidated” unemploy-
ment in the 1930s. So Russians
were shocked by the rampant
joblessness under Yeltsin, then
relieved by the return to pros-
perity and jobs under Putin.
Corruption Persists
and Wealth Rises
Despite widespread support for
Putin, many Russians view their
government as highly corrupt,
seeing the sudden dramatic rise
in the number of billionaires as
evidence. More billionaires live
in Moscow than in any other city
in the world besides New York
and Hong Kong.
86 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
Russian Boris Vladimir
oresident Yeltsin Putin
1
e
Russian
GDP per capita*
1992 2000 2008
Yeltsin 138% Putin
Russian
unemployment rate
$23,895
2012 2015
1992 2000
Corruption perception rank and score, Number
selected nations, 2015 of Russian
billionaires
Rank 1 | Denmark (least corrupt)
16 | U.S.
167 Somalia (most corrupt)
Score O | Sel ae Nene
Most corrupt Least corrupt 2000
*CONSTANT 2011 INTERNATIONAL DOLLARS AT PURCHASING-POWER-PARITY RATES
2015
St. Petersburg
Nizhniy Tagil»
* Nikolskoye
Moscow
R US §
— Extent ofthe
Soviet Union in 1991
-CRIMEA
Former Soviet republics : 7 | 4.) UZBEKISTAN
that joined NATO in 2004 Beslan. CHECHNYA
~_ o - ,
Heralded at Home
With no powerful opposition, Putin has
remained popular despite challenges,
including the admission of three former
Soviet republics into NATO, terrorist
attacks, and a collapsing ruble.
2000 2002 2004 2004 2008 2008-09 2011-12 2014 2014
Second Moscow NATO Beslan War with Great Anti- Annexation Collapse
Chechen theater expansion — school Georgia Recession government of Crimea of ruble
war siege into Baltics , siege : . protests
20° @ e
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Approval rating
Domestic polling
20%
Jan. 2001 May 2009 May July
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An Active Everyman
Putin has publicly participated in a wide variety of traditionally masculine endeavors,
in contrast to the aging and infirm Yeltsin, whom he succeeded on December 31, 1999.
Skiing
Fishing Hunting Judo
MATTHEW W. CHWASTYK AND JOHN TOMANIO, NGM STAFF; FARHANA HOSSAIN. SOURCES: ANDERS ASLUND, ATLANTIC COUNCIL; WORLD BANK; TRANSPARENCY
INTERNATIONAL; FORBES.COM; LEVADA CENTER; GALLUP.COM. PHOTOS (LEFT TO RIGHT): ALEXANDER NATRUSKIN, REUTERS; RUSSIAN PRESIDENTIAL PRESS AND
INFORMATION OFFICE; ALEXEY DRUZHININ, AFP/GETTY IMAGES; DMITRY ASTAKHOV, GETTY IMAGES; AFP/GETTY IMAGES; ALEXEY DRUZHININ, RUSSIAN PRESIDENTIAL
PRESS AND INFORMATION OFFICE; DMITRY ASTAKHOV, GETTY IMAGES
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With some seven million Instagram followers, 29-year-old TV actress Nastasya Samburskaya (@samburskaya)
is one of Russia’s biggest social media stars. Nevertheless, like many Muscovites, she lives in a small
apartment. No different from youth in many countries, young Russians rarely part with their smartphones.
“T always wanted to be a journalist; I was always
writing,” she says, noting that her grandmother
Kept all her short stories. “But my parents told
me journalism isn’t serious. It’s a venal profes-
sion”—a relic of the 1990s, when journalism here
was bought and sold like any commodity—“You
won't make a lot of money. You’re the oldest and
the smartest; you need to go into a solid profes-
sion so you can feed yourself and take care of
your sister.” Along the way her parents separated.
Her father’s business eventually took off, and
Liza was able to spend a year of high school in
Oregon and also study abroad in London.
A modern Westernized woman, she tells her
mother about her boyfriends and the drug-
fueled parties she attends. But in some ways she
is very, very Russian. “Putin irritates me,” she
begins, sounding like many in the oppositional,
educated milieu of Moscow. “But just let a for-
eigner try to criticize him! I will always defend
Russia.” When she was in London, she says, peo-
ple constantly made fun of Russia and Russian
women, mocking them as mail-order brides. “It
92 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
was Offensive to the point of tears, to sit there and
hear outsiders making fun of us,” she says.
This is as political as she gets these days. Back
in 2011 Liza became interested in liberal politics,
which was all the rage in Moscow. She joined Am-
nesty International and the liberal Yabloko party
as an observer for the December parliamentary
elections. She was assigned to the polling station
at her little sister’s school and was shocked to see
teachers stuffing ballot boxes. When Liza tried to
say something, they screamed at her and made
her sit in a corner while the principal blocked her
view. This was happening all over the country.
Many election observers caught it on their phones
and put the proof online, which sparked a mass
protest movement in Moscow and major cities
unlike any Russia had seen in 20 years.
Liza, however, lost her nerve. “I was hysterical,”
she tells me. “I spent two hours crying.” After that
she decided, “No more politics. Ever. This doesn’t
concern me, and I’m not strong enough to fight.”
It’s a promise that she hasn’t broken, even as the
ruble has crashed, cutting into her ability to do
Students take a break at Muhammadiya madrassa in Kazan, a city on the Volga River that is about half ethnic
Russian and half Tatar. Most Tatars are Muslim; Islam, Russia’s second largest religion, is followed by about
7 percent of the population. The school teaches religion, humanities, linguistics, and Tatar history and culture.
the other thing she loves most: travel. “Yes, it’s
terrible; there are fewer opportunities,” she says,
but she refuses to seek an answer in politics. “It’s
a psychological block.”
Kseniya Obidina, Liza’s law school friend,
sees things similarly. Also the child of divorce,
she says family and stability are of primary im-
portance to her. She wants a secure, well-paying
job. She wants to be able to afford travel and to
support her mother and sister. This dream has
become more remote, though, with the politi-
cal and economic crisis: Kseniya wants to work
at foreign law firms, but they are increasingly
packing up and leaving the country. Like Liza,
she refuses to think about politics. “I don’t see
the point of talking about something you can’t
influence. Talk for talk’s sake isn’t interesting,”
she says as we sit in a Moscow Starbucks. As we
leave, she adds, “It’s better to know and be quiet.
It’s better not to speak up. Why spoil your mood?”
HOW DID THEY COME to be this way? Vladimir
Putin is a big part of the answer. He came to power
in 2000 as an anti-Nineties candidate just as this
generation was becoming aware of the world
around them. He promised to bring prosperity and
security. Coasting on historically high oil prices
and economic reforms implemented in the Nine-
ties, Putin was able to fulfill much of that promise
but at the expense of democratic freedoms.
Stability and economic well-being became the
ideology of the day, peppered with a heavy dose
of nostalgia for the U.S.S.R. and a whitewashing
of its sins. Putin called the disintegration of the
Soviet Union “the greatest geopolitical catastro-
phe” of the 20th century. Whoever didn’t feel
that, he said, “doesn’t have a heart.” Joseph Sta-
lin became, in the business-friendly lingo of the
day, an “effective manager” who went a bit too far.
Textbooks and television came to reflect this new,
state-sanctioned nostalgia. Today 58 percent of
Russians would still like to see a return of the Sovi-
et order, and some 40 percent see Stalin favorably.
Much of post-Soviet life has been a hapless
search for a uniting idea. At first it was democ-
racy; then consumerism became a stand-in for
THE PUTIN GENERATION 93
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At aclassy high school prom at St. Petersburg’s elegant Grand Hotel Emerald, students help themselves to a
pyramid of cocktails. The end of communism brought both poverty and wealth to Russia and created a small
middle class. For the young who lived through the volatile 1990s, economic security remains a top desire.
Westernization. “Modernization came through
consumption, but that’s not enough,” says sociol-
ogist Zorkaya. Ikea, which came to Russia in 2000,
became wildly popular among the new middle
class as a way to affordably live in a stylish Eu-
ropean—that is, non-Soviet—way. “It became a
symbol of how you could civilize your life without
alot of money,” she says, “but the fact that behind
this decor is a totally different concept of human
beings and values, somehow it doesn’t connect
for Russians.”
Since the beginning of his third presidential
term, in 2012, Putin has promoted an even more
aggressive neo-Soviet ideology, both at home and
abroad. He fought to keep former Soviet repub-
lics, like Ukraine and Kazakhstan, in Moscow’s
sphere of influence and flexed Russia’s military
power in distant Syria. A series of laws promot-
ed traditional social values and made dissent
even more dangerous. One result is a generation
whose dreams are the embodiment of everything
Putin desires them to be: conformist, materialist,
and highly risk averse.
94 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
Much is made of Putin’s stratospheric popular-
ity—at the time I reported this article, Putin had
the approval of 80 percent of Russians polled. But
Russians between the ages of 18 and 24 approve
of him at a higher rate than any other age group:
88 percent. More than any other generation, they
are proud of their country and its stature in the
world, associate its military prowess with great-
ness, and believe in its future.
IN A DARK, NARROW COURTYARD in Novosi-
birsk, between two 19th-century brick buildings,
I find the local bohemians drinking beer and lis-
tening to electronic music. It’s here that Filipp Kri-
kunoyv, born in 1995, opened an art gallery. Ducking
away from the gathering, he shows me around. One
room is lit with a fluorescent pink light, the wall
arrayed with shelves holding mini-busts of Lenin,
painted in silly patterns. In the next room young
artists have cobbled together mind-bending ways
to take selfies: Stick your head into this cardboard
box full of shattered mirrors. Stick your head in
another to find the remains of a Burger King meal.
Seminary students at Moscow Theological Academy in Sergiyev Posad study the New Testament, liturgical
music, icon painting, and other subjects. Brutally repressed by the communists, the Russian Orthodox
Church has seen a resurgence under Putin, who sees it as an ally in his bid to restore the nation to greatness.
One of Filipp’s friends and partners in the gal-
lery bounds up and shakes my hand. “We just
found out that they didn’t bury anyone under
this space,” he gushes. After Filipp rented the
rooms, he and his friends realized that the build-
ing next door houses the FSB. In the 1930s it was
called the NKVD, and it killed as many as 1.2 mil-
lion people. Often the NKVD’s victims were shot
and buried on-site. But Filipp’s gallery, Space of
Modern Art, lucked out. No bones in the base-
ment here. Just hipsters in the mild Siberian
summer night.
I had met Filipp earlier that day at a chic
Novosibirsk café, surrounded by impossibly fash-
ionable young women with very obvious lip jobs.
Novosibirsk is Russia’s third largest city, a center
of industry and scientific innovation. There’s a
lot of money here. Filipp, though, didn’t see much
of it. He grew up without a father. Like many
young Russians, he was raised by his mother and
grandmother. His great-grandfather fought in
World War II and was later purged by Stalin. His
grandmother became a renowned chemist, and
his mother also worked in science. But the wom-
en’s passion was politics. “All the main hashtags
at home are politics,” Filipp says.
Filipp was 16 when the pro-democracy pro-
tests broke out in Moscow and spread to cities
like Novosibirsk. Tens of thousands poured into
the streets to demand free and fair elections,
yet the protests felt more like block parties than
demonstrations. Filipp too was fed up with Putin.
“Messages were being sent to him, messages of
discontent, and yet there was no dialogue with
those people,” Filipp says. He didn’t recognize
the Russia that Kremlin-controlled television
showed. “That was a different country,” he says.
“T didn’t know a single person like that.”
“T went to the protests. I tried to be politically
active,” Filipp tells me. “It was boiling inside me.
I wasn’t thinking about anything else. The whole
country is rising in protest, and I’m part of it.”
But he was soon disappointed. “I looked around,
and the people at the rallies weren’t my people. I
wasn't totally comfortable,” he says. “And it didn’t
lead to anything.”
THE PUTIN GENERATION 95
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attracts the young, fashionable set. Voda|Sneg
(Water|Snow), on the shore of the Volga River,
offers a range of entertainment options that
change with the seasons. In summer there’s
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Mikhail Vasilev, a 29-year-old billiard-equipment salesman, practices his skateboard moves in Moscow’s
Triumfalnaya Square near a statue of Vladimir Mayakovsky, a poet who extolled the 1917 revolution. Russia’s
young people have more freedoms than their parents and grandparents could ever have imagined.
That’s not quite true. The protests did change
things, just not for the better. In May 2012 the
Kremlin cracked down. Since then dozens of
people who attended protests have been round-
ed up, tried, and jailed. The political situation in
the country only worsened as Putin—feeling be-
trayed by the middle class he felt he had created
with his policies—pursued an increasingly au-
thoritarian line. He publicly labeled liberals who
advocated for freedom and democracy “national
traitors” and “a fifth column.”
The harsh response left a deep impression on
100 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC ¢ DECEMBER 2016
the Putin generation: It taught them to stay out of
politics. “I decided that either I fight this system,”
Filipp says, “or I live in a different system”—the
world of art. “There’s more good in it,” he says.
“Politics are nerve-racking. You’re constantly un-
happy; you're not enjoying your life.”
Putin is up for reelection in 2018. There is little
doubt that he will run again and even less that he
will win another six-year term. That would mean
he would be in power until 2024, if not longer. By
then Filipp, who was five when Putin first became
president, would be 29. Is he comfortable living
with Putin until then? He shrugs. “I’ve lived my
whole life with my right hand, and it’s fine.”
IN AKADEMGORODOK, a small academic town
built around Novosibirsk State University and its
many labs, I meet Alexandra Mikhaylova. She’s
20, with cutoff denim shorts and the dyed red hair
of a punk rocker. Alexandra came from a family
of scientists—her mom is a geologist and her
father a physicist—who gravitated to this little
town, which was founded in 1957 as an incubator
for science and the engine of the Soviet Union’s
technological race with the West. Since the Sovi-
et collapse, underfunded Russian scientists have
fallen behind their Western colleagues. Both of
Alexandra’s parents have gone into business.
Now, as a third-year journalism student, she
is working on a documentary about the town
and its lively intellectual history, specifically the
underground of the 1960s. “They had their own
system of government until 1966,” Alexandra
tells me as we stand in the gleaming hallway of
the university's new building. Her eyes light up
as she tells me about her research into this lit-
tle corner of freedom and intellectual ferment
in asea of totalitarianism. In 1966 some of these
free-spirited young scientists wrote a letter to
Moscow, complaining about things they didn’t
like. The response, Alexandra says, was swift.
Many were fired, and strict political control was
put in place. But Alexandra’s documentary picks
up again in the 1980s, with the Soviet punk rock
underground that spread all over the country.
These days, Alexandra says, “it’s stagnant.
Something’s missing. People aren’t politically en-
gaged. When it comes to the government, young
people are either neutral or positively disposed.
No one stands up for their opinion, and there’s a
thin line between indifference and agreement.”
The government is again in the censorship busi-
ness. A classic rocker from the 1990s had his con-
cert canceled here because he spoke out against
the invasion of Ukraine. “Year after year they close
another media outlet, the ones that show things
more objectively,’ Alexandra says. More than any-
thing, though, she is saddened that the Akadem-
gorodok she lives in lacks the creative fervor of the
Sixties and Eighties. The society around her, un-
like the one her parents experienced, is cautious
and stale. She longs for a change, a shake-up. But
she knows it won't be her generation that brings it.
“It'll be the kids who are 13, 15 now,” Alexandra
says wistfully. When they are the age she is now,
her generation will have other priorities. “We’ll
try to help, but if you’re 30, you’re not going to
lead a revolution with a baby in your arms.” U
Julia loffe is a contributing writer for
Politico Magazine and the Huffington
Post’s Highline. Born in Moscow, she
lived there while writing for Foreign
Policy and the New Yorker. This is her
first article for National Geographic.
THE PUTIN GENERATION 101
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beautiful—but a warming climate forces us
to accept that they can’t be frozen in time.
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THE POWER OF PARKS
A YEARLONG EXPLORATION
SSATEAGUE ISLAND National Seashore, which sits
on a 37-mile-long sliver of land just off the coast of
Maryland and Virginia, is gradually shuffling west.
Over centuries, as hurricanes and nor’easters drive
sand from its Atlantic beaches across the island
and into its bayside marshes, the entire island is
scooting closer to the coast.
“It’s neat, isn’t it?” says Ishmael Ennis, hunching against a stiff
spring wind. “Evolution!” He grins at the beach before him. It’s littered
with tree stumps, gnarled branches, and chunks of peat the size of seat
cushions—the remains of a marsh that once formed the western shore
of the island. Later buried by storm-shifted sand, it’s now resurfacing
to the east, as the island shuffles on.
Ennis, who recently retired after 34 years as maintenance chief at
Assateague, has seen his share of storms here. This national seashore,
in fact, owes its existence to a nor’easter: In March 1962, when the leg-
endary Ash Wednesday storm plowed into Assateague, it obliterated the
nascent resort of Ocean Beach, destroying its road, its first 30 buildings,
and its developers’ dreams. (Street signs erected for nonexistent streets
were left standing in a foot of seawater.) Taking advantage of that set-
back, conservationists persuaded Congress in 1965 to protect most of
the island as part of the National Park System. Today it’s the longest
undeveloped stretch of barrier island on the mid-Atlantic coast, beloved
for its shaggy feral ponies, its unobstructed stargazing, and its quiet
ocean vistas—which have always been punctuated, as they are on other
barrier islands, by impressive storms.
Scientists expect that as the climate changes, the storms will likely
strengthen, sea levels will keep rising, and Assateague’s slow west-
ward migration may accelerate. Ennis knows the island well enough to
suspect that these changes are under way. Assateague’s maintenance
crew is already confronting the consequences. On the south end of
the island, storms destroyed the parking lots six times in 10 years. The
visitors center was damaged three times. Repair was expensive, and
after fist-size chunks of asphalt from old parking lots began to litter
the beach, it began to seem worse than futile to Ennis.
A tinkerer by nature—he grew up on a small farm on Maryland’s
Eastern Shore—he realized the situation called for mechanical cre-
ativity. Working with the park’s architect, Ennis and his co-workers
adapted the toilets, showers, and beach shelters so that they could be
moved quickly, ahead of an approaching storm. They experimented
with different parking lot surfaces, finally arriving at a porous sur-
face of loose clamshells—the kind often used on local driveways—
that could be repaired easily and, when necessary, bulldozed to a
new location. “It was a lot of what we called ‘Eastern Shore engi-
neering, ” Ennis says, laughing. “We weren’t thinking about climate
change. We did it because we had to.” He lowers his voice, mock-
conspiratorially. “It was all by accident.”
108 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
By Michelle Nijhuis
Photographs by
Keith Ladzinski
This is the last article
in a yearlong series
commemorating the 100th
anniversary of the National
Park Service. For more
stories, photos, and videos
on the power of parks and
the threats to them, go to
nationalgeographic.com/
power-of-parks.
Accidental or not, these modest adaptations were the beginning
of something broader. The seashore is now one of the first national
parks in the country to explicitly address—and accept—the effects of
climate change. Under its draft general management plan, the park
will not try to fight the inevitable: It will continue to move as the island
moves, shifting its structures with the sands. If rising seas and wors-
ening storm surges make it impractical to maintain the state-owned
bridge that connects Assateague to the mainland, the plan says, park
visitors will just have to take a ferry.
WHEN CONGRESS PASSED THE ACT CREATING the National Park
Service in the summer of 1916, it instructed the agency to leave park
scenery and wildlife “unimpaired for the enjoyment of future gen-
erations.” The law did not define “unimpaired.” To Stephen Mather,
the charismatic borax magnate who served as the first director of the
Park Service, it meant simply “undeveloped.” Early park managers fol-
lowed his lead, striving both to protect and to promote sublime vistas.
But the arguments began almost as soon as the agency was
born. In September 1916 the prominent California zoologist Joseph
CAPE HATTERAS
NATIONAL SEASHORE,
NORTH CAROLINA
Sea-level rise
Just off the coast, Hatteras
Island forms a slender barrier
between the mainland and the
open ocean, as Assateague
Island does off Maryland
and Virginia. Rising seas and
intensifying storms are
narrowing Hatteras, damaging
habitats and historic struc-
tures and threatening to
expose the mainland to the
storms full fury.
THE PARKS OF TOMORROW 109
DROUGHT
Joshua Tree
National Park
Joshua tree seedlings need
rain to endure summer heat, but
droughts have become more
frequent and longer lasting.
Scientists predict that by 2100
only isolated pockets of these
now widespread trees will be
found within park boundaries.
Months of severe drought
Palmer Drought Severity Index
12
sw
N
) |
Li
1895 1955 2015
MONICA SERRANO, NGM STAFF
SOURCES: CAMERON BARROWS,
UC RIVERSIDE; NOAA
Grinnell, writing in the journal Science, suggested that the Park Ser-
vice should protect not just scenery but also the “original balance
in plant and animal life.” Over the next few decades, wildlife biolo-
gists inside and outside the agency echoed Grinnell, calling for the
parks to remain “unimpaired,” in ecological terms. But the public
came to the parks for spectacles—volcanoes, waterfalls, trees you
can drive a car through—and preserving them remained the agency’s
primary concern.
In the early 1960s, Secretary of the Interior Stewart Udall—who
would oversee the addition of nearly 50 sites to the National Park
System, including Assateague—became concerned about the agen-
cy’s management of wildlife in the parks. He recruited University of
California wildlife biologist Starker Leopold, the son of famed conser-
vationist Aldo Leopold, to chair an independent study.
The Leopold Report proved hugely influential. Like Grinnell, it
called on the Park Service to maintain the original “biotic associa-
tions” that existed at the time of European settlement. In the decades
that followed, the Park Service got more scientific. Park managers be-
gan setting controlled fires in forests where natural wildfires had long
been suppressed; they reintroduced species that had vanished, such
as wolves and bighorn sheep. The focus, though, was less on restor-
ing ecological processes than on re-creating static scenes—on making
each park, as the Leopold Report recommended, into a “vignette of
primitive America.” In time that vision took on what Yellowstone his-
torian Paul Schullery describes as an “almost scriptural aura.”
And yet, as Leopold himself later acknowledged, it was misleading.
The notion of presettlement America as primitive ignored the long im-
pact Native Americans had had on park landscapes, through hunting
and setting fires of their own. It ignored the fact that nature itself, left
to its own devices, does not tend toward a steady state—landscapes
and ecosystems are always being changed by storms or droughts or
fires or floods, or even by the interactions of living things. The ecologi-
cal scenes the Park Service strove to maintain, from a largely imagined
past, were in a way just a new version of the spectacles it had always
felt bound to deliver to visitors.
“The Park Service has had a tacit agreement with the American pub-
lic that it’s going to keep things looking as they’ve always looked,” says
Nate Stephenson, an ecologist who studies forests at Sequoia, Kings
Canyon, and Yosemite National Parks. “But time does not stop here.”
FROM THE 1980S ON, SCIENTISTS gradually came to accept that
a new sort of change was under way. The glaciers in Glacier Nation-
al Park were shrinking, wildfires in Sequoia were getting larger, and
coastal parks were losing ground to rising seas. Shortly after the turn
of the century, researchers in Glacier announced that by 2030 even
the park’s largest glaciers would likely disappear.
In 2003 a group of researchers at the University of California,
110 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
Berkeley began to retrace the footsteps of Joseph Grinnell. In Yosem-
ite and other California parks, the zoologist had conducted fanatically
detailed wildlife surveys, predicting their value would not “be realized
until the lapse of many years, possibly a century.” When the Berke-
ley researchers compared their own Yosemite surveys and other data
with Grinnell’s 90-year-old snapshot, they noticed that the ranges of
several small mammals had shifted significantly uphill, toward the
ridgeline of the Sierra Nevada. Two other once common mammals, a
chipmunk and a wood rat, were almost extinct in the park. The pattern
was clear: Climate change had arrived in Yosemite too, and animals
were migrating to escape the heat.
For a while the Park Service avoided talking about the subject. To
acknowledge the reality of human-caused climate change was a po-
litical act, and the Park Service doesn’t discuss politics with its visi-
tors. At Glacier the interpretive signs made only a passing reference
to rising temperatures. Rangers avoided talk of causes. “We were very
constrained,” remembers William Tweed, former chief of interpreta-
tion at Sequoia and Kings Canyon. “The message we got from above
was basically, ‘Don’t go into it if you can help it.”
The problem, though, ran deeper than transient politics. People
had long come to national parks to experience the eternal—to get
a glimpse, however deceptive, of nature in its stable, “unimpaired”
state. The inconvenient truth of climate change made it more and
more difficult for the Park Service to offer that illusion. But no one
knew what the national parks should offer instead.
WHEN NATE STEPHENSON was Six years old, his parents fitted him
with boots and a hand-built wooden pack frame and took him back-
packing in Kings Canyon National Park. For most of the 53 years since,
Stephenson has been hiking the ancient forests of the Sierra Nevada.
“They're the center of my universe,” he says. Soon after he graduated
from UC Irvine, he packed up his Dodge Dart and fled Southern Cali-
fornia for asummer job at Sequoia National Park. Now he’s a research
ecologist there, studying how the park’s forests are changing.
While park managers are often consumed by immediate crises,
researchers like Stephenson have the flexibility—and the responsi-
bility—to contemplate the more distant future. In the 1990s this long
view became deeply disturbing to him. He had always assumed that
the sequoia and foxtail pine stands surrounding him would last far
longer than he would, but when he considered the possible effects
of rising temperatures and extended drought, he wasn’t so sure—he
could see the “vignette of primitive America” dissolving into an inac-
cessible past. The realization threw him into a funk that lasted years.
“T was a firm believer in the mission of the Park Service,” Stephen-
son remembers, “and suddenly I saw that the mission we had was not
going to be the same as the mission of the future. We could no longer
use the past as a target for restoration—we were entering an era where
GLACIAL RETREAT
Glacier
National Park
In 1850 there were about 150
glaciers in what is now the park.
Today only 25 remain. Grinnell
Glacier has decreased in area
by more than 75 percent.
MATTHEW W. CHWASTYK, NGM STAFF
SOURCES: NATIONAL PARK SERVICE (NPS);
DAN FAGRE AND MARK FAHEY, USGS
THE PARKS OF TOMORROW 111
GLACIER NATIONAL PARK,
MONTANA
Fires
Cloaked in smoke from wildfires
as far away as Washington State,
iWaloMcx=)ge@-1Ko10 M Olt- come) maal-malelacatslaal
acoxer.((=s-me leh mlamial=manreaaliaremielaim
Fires in the West are growing larger
and more destructive as tempera-
Ul gstoM a lsyou-laleme|gelblelalmel=\-)el-1al-n
force salt water into the Evergla les, ve
Fal [fe Fe\ko) em aat-\m ol=m=10(0(-1eme]Uim eo)’ meicelerors
diles, which can excrete excess salt
iualcesUle|amtatsslamceyare [Coe
_
*
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= i + 7. s ey :
f fe ee é iisy s
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a i * = =
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‘
; a al i
7 a wee é
= = * = :
SEA-LEVEL RISE
Everglades
National Park
With 84 percent of the park
already at an altitude of less
than one meter (3.3 feet),
sea-level rise is increasing
the likelihood and extent of
saltwater intrusion during
storms and high tides. The
park’s freshwater inland
marshes are giving way to
brackish and marine habitats.
Typical conditions
Saw grass marshes flourish
in fresh groundwater, while
mangroves thrive in saline
and brackish environments.
that was not only impossible, but might even be undesirable.”
Stephenson began what he calls a “road show,” giving presenta-
tions to Park Service colleagues about the need for a new mission.
Somewhat mischievously, he proposed a thought experiment: What
if Sequoia National Park became too hot and dry for its eponymous
trees? Should park managers, who are supposed to leave wild nature
alone, irrigate sequoias to save them? Should they start planting se-
quoia seedlings in cooler, wetter climes, even outside park boundar-
ies? Should they do both—or neither?
His audiences squirmed. Leopold had left them no answers.
On a late September day in Sequoia National Park, the sky is clear,
blue, and thanks to a brisk wind, free of smoke from the wildfire burn-
ing just over the crest of the Sierra Nevada. Stephenson and his field
crew are finishing a season of forest surveys, adding to a decades-long
record of forest health. In their lowest-elevation study sites, below the
sequoia zone, 16 percent of the trees have died this year, approximate-
ly 10-fold the usual rate. “It’s about what you'd see after a low-grade
wildfire,” says Stephenson. Weakened by years of drought, many of the
low-elevation trees are dying from insect attacks. At higher elevations,
in the sequoia stands, several old giants have dropped some of their
needles to combat drought stress; a few that were already damaged by
SAW GRASS e ce 9 ¢ e Lf 399
MARSH MANGROVES fire have died. “It’s not ‘The sequoias are dying, ” Stephenson empha-
AMAA sizes. “The sequoias are doing relatively well. It’s the pines, the firs,
PEAT .
Ya the incense cedars—the whole forest is affected.
FRESH- _; SALT: aieaae The current drought may be a preview of the future, but the trouble
WATER = 2WATER ee.
with climate change—at Sequoia and elsewhere—is that many of its
effects are hard to predict. Average temperatures at Sequoia will rise,
and snow will give way to rain, but it’s not clear whether total precip-
itation will increase or decrease, or whether the changes will be grad-
ual or abrupt. “We don’t know which scenario is going to play out,”
says Sequoia and Kings Canyon Superintendent Woody Smeck. The
Park Service can no longer re-create the past, and it can’t count on the
future. Instead, it must prepare for multiple, wildly different futures.
Sea-level rise
As encroaching salt water
degrades peat, marshes
recede and collapse, and
mangroves advance inland.
AULA che 2 \& ate ae
IN 2009 PARK SERVICE DIRECTOR Jonathan Jarvis assembled a
committee of outside experts to reexamine the Leopold Report. The
resulting document, “Revisiting Leopold,” proposed a new set of goals
for the agency. Instead of primitive vignettes, the Park Service would
manage for “continuous change that is not yet fully understood.”
Instead of “ecologic scenes,” it would strive to preserve “ecological
integrity and cultural and historical authenticity.” Instead of static
vistas, visitors would get “transformative experiences.” Perhaps most
important, parks would “form the core of a national conservation
land- and seascape.” They’d be managed not as islands but as part of
a network of protected lands.
The report is not yet official policy. But it’s the agency’s clearest
acknowledgment yet of the changes afoot and the need to manage
SALTWATER
INTRUSION
SOURCES: NPS; EVERGLADES
FOUNDATION; FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
UNIVERSITY; SOUTH FLORIDA WATER
MANAGEMENT DISTRICT
116 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
for them. Exactly what that management looks like isn’t certain, and
much of it will be worked out park by park, determined by science,
politics, and money. Some parks have already gone to great lengths
to resist change: Cape Hatteras National Seashore, for instance, spent
almost $12 million to move a famous lighthouse a half mile inland.
But such dramatic measures are rare and likely to remain so; the Park
Service budget today is about what it was in 2008.
Instead, many parks are looking to boost their tolerance for change,
adapting their own infrastructure and helping their flora and fauna do
the same. At Indiana Dunes National Lakeshore, scientists are search-
ing the oak savannas for cooler microclimates into which the Park Ser-
vice might transport the endangered Karner blue butterfly, which has
been all but driven from the park. In Glacier, biologists have already
captured bull trout and carried them in backpacks to a higher, cooler
lake outside their historic range. The idea is to give the fish a refuge
both from climate change and from invasive lake trout.
At Sequoia, Stephenson wants park managers to consider planting
sequoia seedlings in a higher, cooler part of the park—to see how the
seedlings fare, and also how the public would respond to experiment-
ing with the icons. “We have to start trying things,” he says.
At Assateague, while Ennis’s successors prepare the parking lots
and toilets for change, Liz Davis, the chief of education, is preparing
the park’s younger visitors. In 25 years at Assateague she has intro-
duced countless school groups to the seashore. When elementary stu-
dents visit, she takes them to the beach, shapes a model of the island
out of sand, and throws a bucket of seawater across it to show how the
island shifts. Then she turns the model over to the kids: Where would
they put the parking lots and campgrounds? How about the visitors
center? “They get really into it,” she says, laughing. “They’ll say, No,
no, don’t put the new ranger station there, it’ll get washed away!”
Like the Park Service, visitors must learn to accept that their favor-
ite park might change. “People ask, ‘Will I still be able to enjoy it? Will
my kids and grandkids be able to enjoy it?’” Davis says. “The answer is
yes, they will. They might not enjoy it in the same way, and they might
not get here the same way. But they will still be able to enjoy it.” U
Michelle Nijhuis has covered climate change and conser-
vation for 15 years, beginning as a reporter for High Country
News in Colorado. For National Geographic she has written
about the prospects for “clean” coal, the California drought,
and in the May 2015 issue, dams on the Mekong River.
Keith Ladzinski grew up playing in the Colorado Rockies
and has worked on all seven continents as an outdoor and
adventure photographer. For National Geographic he has
shot films on extreme climbing expeditions in China and
Antarctica; this is his first photographic assignment.
DARCY HUNTER (TOP);
ANDY MANN
OCEAN ACIDIFICATION
Olympic
National Park
As the ocean absorbs at
least a quarter of the carbon
dioxide emitted by humans,
its pH is falling: The water
is getting more acidic. That
can harm marine life — mak-
ing it harder, for example, for
species such as mussels to
form shells.
Ocean pH
— Trend line pH measurement
9.0
o1ploe S10
a
2000 2008 2016
Mussel-shell thickness
Cross 1970s 2000s
section 6.7mm 4.8mm
af
California mussel
(Mytilus californianus)
SOURCES: TIM WOOTTON AND CATHY
PFISTER, UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO
THE PARKS OF TOMORROW 117
CAPE HATTERAS
NATIONAL SEASHORE,
NORTH CAROLINA
Extreme weather
This photograph was taken under-
water —filaments of algae are growing
Taare im low alelaaarsli\var-melavmilsyem-lmcal-
Cape Point Campground on Hatteras
FS] FeTave Mm DIU lalave miele) mer=\\c-mialicm ey toye
cs) o} alae pmealomasvanlar-lalecme) mice) e)ier-lm-jice)aan|
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AE a VETTE
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK,
CALIFORNIA
Heat, drought
A Joshua tree seems to bend a shelter-
Tate = laanme)c-)ar-W\V/(e)(-hV.om\L0 ecer- al =)¥ar-a ROLO)
‘aley-1 me) mi atm oy- 1a @aat-\vm e-mcolonelava-lare
ako) mice) mi dal>mae-\-\-em oLUim ey-la @e)(e)(erelt-ym (11
Frakes isn’t giving up on them. “Joshua
| incredibly resilient,” he says.
at the future isn’t as
i
PROOF | A PHOTOGRAPHER’S JOURNAL
iMeleocnet
Waren melueine
A research station in Tanzania embodies the promise
of the past—and a dream that never quite came true.
122
British entomologist John Raybould,
UST aveMlatsysreq nets to snare specimens.
uP
ee
=
=
Fs
PROOF | A PHOTOGRAPHER’S JOURNAL |
NATIONALGEOGRAPHIC.COM/ PROOF
By Jeremy Berlin
Photographs by Evgenia Arbugaeva
n a hilltop in northeastern Tan-
zania, high up in the Usambara
Mountains, memories are tangible
things. Modernist buildings litter
the lush jungle. European trees
and medicinal plants, affixed with Latin labels,
mingle with local species. Scientific instruments
and a fully stocked library are poised for use.
This is what’s left of the Amani Hill Research
Station—a past vision of the future, suspended
in time. It’s also what brought Siberian photogra-
pher Evgenia Arbugaeva to East Africa two years
ago. Her aim? To document the nostalgia that
lingers here and create images that “bring back
the atmosphere of this dark, magical place.”
Arbugaeva worked closely with Wenzel
Geissler, an anthropologist at the University
124 NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC « DECEMBER 2016
of Oslo. For the past several years, he and his
team—an international consortium of scientists,
historians, and artists—have been studying old
research stations in the tropics. Their project
examines the memories, perceptions, and
expectations of those who used to live and work
at these postcolonial scientific sites.
Yet Amani is not a ruin. A staff of 34—elderly
watchmen and maintenance workers, a librarian,
afew lab attendants—still lives there in the shells
of houses, many without water or electricity.
Some say they’re waiting for the site to be revived.
“Amani stands for the dreams of science and
progress bequeathed upon colonial populations,”
says Geissler. “When funding dried up here in the
early 1980s, dreams did too. But hypothetically
it’s all there to be switched on again. In these
buildings—in these people’s memories and
dreams—the idea of a potential future lives on.”
Amani was founded in the late 19th century as
a German botanical garden and coffee plantation.
After World War II it became a British malaria
research institute. Since 1979 it’s been operated
by Tanzania’s National Institute for Medical Re-
search, which pays the current staff to maintain
the site for future use.
To “channel the spirit, motion, and beauty of
the place” as it stands today, Arbugaeva spent a
lot of time in the past—“in the library, amid all
the dusty old books on natural history and dis-
eases, reading by candlelight.” She also shad-
owed John Mganga, a retired lab assistant.
“He loved to tell me stories,” she says. “And to
dream—to imagine what the people who used to
work there are doing. He loves the idea of being
part of something bigger, part of science. He’s
still connected to Amani. And he still misses it.”
Geissler says collaborating with Arbugaeva
was invaluable because she was able to turn work-
ers’ memories of old routines and rituals into
images. “That helps us read the traces of a once
ordered past—this idea of progress in alandscape
NGM MAPS
that seems like it’s only ruins and loss,” he says.
Her photos capture a sense of “shared nostalgia
for...a modernity we never quite reached.”
Arbugaeva agrees. “I want people to see what I
saw: a hidden world that existed before and that
still exists in memories. Somebody’s still dream-
ing about it. I want to bring people there.” U
AMANI HILL
RESEARCH STATION
Dar es Salaam
TRACES OF THE FUTURE 125
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Amani — “hidden waterfalls and his favorite spots, the houses
where British staff used to live,” and this collection of insects,
WVialCevamatsw-laleMat-\i,elele| (om) el-lalmicct-lasmel-lialc)alarem-lalem-yaerehilale p
Unlike some assistants at Amani, the
now retired Mganga — here resting
in alab — “really lost something when
the whole place folded,” says University
fo) m @X-\(oer- lal dal ae) exe)(efe |i mi\(o)ap4o) Me (eh) (2) 6
“He had truly believed in science and
the country’s future. He lived that
dream. And he suffered from losing it.”
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IN THE LOUPE | WITH BILL BONNER, NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC ARCHIVIST
CROWNING
GLORY
By Eve Conant
The star of this 1919 photo — the ideal image
to cap our coverage of the National Park
Service’s centennial year —is Old Faithful.
The geyser in Yellowstone National Park
mesmerizes us today as it did these women
(inset) nearly a century ago. While the pair
appear to be viewing one of America’s best
known landmarks at a precariously close
range, they did remember to shield them-
selves from the sun —or perhaps a scalding
mineral spray — with their elegant parasols.
From the Editors
Bill Bonner has brought a gift for un-
earthing just the right photo to In the
Loupe and to countless other projects.
During more than 33 years as the archi-
vist of National Geographic’s vintage col-
lection, Bonner—wearing his trademark
white cotton gloves—lovingly tended a
collection containing some eight million
photographs.
This year he began his well-earned
retirement. So after this issue we’re re-
tiring In the Loupe as well.
Bonner always kept a loupe on hand
to hunt for details hidden from the na-
ked eye, says senior photo editor Jessie
Wender: “There are few people who look
at the past with such care.”
Ina2014 documentary video about his
distinguished career, Bonner describes
photographs as “shadows of history that
you can actually see... of people like us,
just doing our thing, just living our life.”
As he moves on to do exactly that, we
wish him well.
PHOTO: SUMNER W. MATTESON, NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC CREATIVE
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